re: Tropical Storm Erika - fat lady has sung, passed out, & getting dry humped

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Recon data is indicating that this is still a hot mess of a system tonight.

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I really thought it would get its shite together with the overnight convection after everything else yesterday evening but it just hasn't

00z GFS and 00z ecmwf don't look fun for appalachicola. they both look really strange though because they're having a tough time initializing the exact starting position of the storm