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Started By
Message
re: Tropical Storm Erika - fat lady has sung, passed out, & getting dry humped
Posted on 8/27/15 at 3:32 pm to bankdawg
Posted on 8/27/15 at 3:32 pm to bankdawg
quote:
last couple of hours it has started moving NNW with the sheer calming down a bit
I'm not so sure we can ascertain motion from that. It looks like there might be a northerly turn.. but these things can wobble.
The main thing that's going on here is the two circulations are trying to consolidate which means (at least) one of them is going to have to deviate from regular storm motion to get on top of/underneath the other. This could result in the storm finally taking its northerly turn.. but I doubt the current storm motion is due N or NNW
another recon aircraft is on its way right now.. should be there to get a vortex fix in the next couple hours so we'll know for sure.
This post was edited on 8/27/15 at 3:35 pm
3
Posted on 8/27/15 at 3:36 pm to baytiger
i remember when isaac made a hard north western turn for a while... it went back westerly...
Posted on 8/27/15 at 3:49 pm to baytiger
quote:
I'm not so sure we can ascertain motion from that. It looks like there might be a northerly turn.. but these things can wobble.
Yeah, short term motion is tricky with the canopy expanding this afternoon, can't really trust satellite images. Recon will be interesting and maybe the data can clear things up.
As far as track, even if this does make the Gulf there doesn't appear to be many options for moving too far west.
Posted on 8/27/15 at 3:49 pm to baytiger
good post. do you think she would survive a direct hit on Hispaniola?
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