quote:
And he averaged 11.9 the year before which is higher than 3 out of 5 of Graham's average ypc. Ypc is something that fluctuates dramatically each year and is dependent on many factors (highest being where the ball is caught).

when you catch 20 passes in a season, 2 or 3 catches can inflate a YPC.

6.8 is terrible. Meaning they didnt even trust him to run routes downfield.

quote:
Figuring Watson's catch rate and his prior production the last two year's he would get about 54 catches.

lol he isnt sniffing 54 catches. He's caught that many balls once in his career.

Honestly if we had another capable TE on the roster, his job would be in jeopardy big time.

This post was edited on 5/19/15 at 12:23 am

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Posted by bonethug0108

Avondale

Member since Mar 2013

12690 posts

Posted on 5/19/15 at 12:41 am to Lester Earl

I'm not predicting 54 catches for him because between Spiller and Hill I think he will see fewer targets than that scenario. That was just a what if to show how it is possible and quite reasonable if we decide to give him that big a share of Graham's targets.

I'm still pegging him for around 40 catches. I see Hill as much more of an x factor and could see him getting anywhere between 30-70 depending on just how good he looks. This is a guy that caught only 14 balls last year, 6 less than the finished Watson.

I expect Spiller to see first year Bush/Sproles type targets so that leaves a good portion of targets to divide among Colston, Cooks, and whoever else plays WR. I think Colston and Cooks each break 80 catches at least.

Of course all of this depends on health. Had Cooks stayed healthy we would have seen very near four 900+ yard guys (Graham falling just shy with Cooks on pace to go over). This year I only see three guys getting that close or over 1,000: Colston, Cooks, and Spiller.

This post was edited on 5/19/15 at 12:44 am

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