People tend to forget the Jimmy Graham factor and just how many targets he's been sucking from everyone. I want to say he's been at least two in targets every year since 2011, but most years one(if not every year).

Watson had about 20 catches each year as an afterthought in the passing game. Watson and Hill are both about to see a good jump in targets and they could both easily have 40+ catches with just 75% of Graham's targets going their way.

It wasn't like Watson was being targeted and dropping the ball or getting overthrown. He just wasn't getting balls his way because of the massive target Brees was fixating on.

This post was edited on 5/18/15 at 11:53 pm

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Posted by Lester Earl

Member since Nov 2003

279171 posts

Posted on 5/18/15 at 11:53 pm to bonethug0108

Watson averaged 6.8 YPC last year. He'll be 35. C'mon

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Posted by LooseCannon22282

Mobile

Member since May 2008

33774 posts

Posted on 5/19/15 at 12:01 am to bonethug0108

quote:
Watson and Hill are both about to see a good jump in targets and they could both easily have 40+ catches with just 75% of Graham's targets going their way.

since getting open is half the battle, hopefully people will just flat out not concentrate on Watson.

i hate to be a skeptic but unless he hits the fountain of youth one last time it could get rough.

maybe one of the newer unknowns will surprise. That's kind of what I'm banking on anyway.

it'd be cool to have an option similar to a Dwayne Allen. A guy who is a good blocker but a solid red zone threat.

i know they don't on trees but it sounds good.

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Posted by bonethug0108

Avondale

Member since Mar 2013

12690 posts

Posted on 5/19/15 at 12:09 am to bonethug0108

And he averaged 11.9 the year before which is higher than 3 out of 5 of Graham's average ypc. Ypc is something that fluctuates dramatically each year and is dependent on many factors (highest being where the ball is caught).

Hell Graham had his carrer low last year and Watson had his fourth highest in 2013. You sure do love to nitpick one thing at a time to try to make your case.

Moving on I did some quick math based on Graham's average targets since 2011 and Watson's catch rate last year. If Watson and Hill see 75% of Graham's targets and it's divided equally among them they would each see about 52 more targets.

Figuring Watson's catch rate and his prior production the last two year's he would get about 54 catches.

Now that's assuming Hill doesn't become the "next Graham" and suck up much more of that share. But in that situation it's still a win for us.

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