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re: Was LSU one of 10 unluckiest teams last season?: Ron Higgins
Posted on 2/24/15 at 3:10 pm to FalseProphet
Posted on 2/24/15 at 3:10 pm to FalseProphet
quote:
Why do people take the time to come up with meaningless stuff like this?
whats wrong with breaking down some numbers and theories?
quote:
Funroe
ahhh, say no more. I understand
2
Posted on 2/24/15 at 3:46 pm to Random LSU Hero
quote:There is nothing to indicate that the numbers calculated are a meaningful measure of "luck". It's simply a shitty stat.
whats wrong with breaking down some numbers and theories?
It's not a waste of time on behalf of the author because he is still getting people to read it. But it is certainly meaningless as far as statistics go (or at the very least, it has a very different meaning than the one the author claims)
Posted on 2/24/15 at 4:42 pm to Random LSU Hero
quote:
whats wrong with breaking down some numbers and theories?
The theory is that losing a close game is unlucky. The actual plays that happen in the game, and other circumstances surrounding the game are not factored in at all. In his theory, if you win every game that you are favored in by 20, and lose every game that you are an underdog in by 1, then you are a very unlucky team.
Imagine a game between 2 teams. Team A has an above average pass offense and an average run offense. Team B has a below average pass offense and an above average run offense. Team A is favored by 14. The weather conditions are very wet and windy, and team A wins by 2. In reality, team B was lucky to be in the game at the end, but based on the theory, they were unlucky to lose the game.
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