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LSU (18-8, 7-6) vs Florida (13-13, 6-7) - Sat noon - PMAC - CBS
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:18 am
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:18 am
Who: LSU Tigers (18-8, 7-6) vs Florida Gators (13-13, 6-7)
When: Saturday, February 21 - Noon (central time)
Where: Maravich Center (13,215 - 45th NCAA)
How:
***TV: CBS
***Radio: 98.1FM
***Stream: CBSSports.com/stream
It was a month ago that LSU went into the O-Dome and left Gainesville with an 18 point victory over the Florida Gators. LSU's Martin and Mickey totaled 36 points and 22 rebounds in a contest where LSU was a 10 point underdog. The last month has not been pleasant to the Gators.
Florida has lost 7 of their last 10 games and are almost certainly looking at Billy Donovan's first sub 20 win season as head man of Florida. Things won't get easier for the Gators who will be without their top two scorers Dorian Finney-Smith (suspended) and Michael Frazier (injury). The duo scored 18 of Florida's 61 points against the Tigers a month ago and leaves Florida with no player averaging over 9 points per game.
After a disappointing loss at Texas A&M, LSU knows they need a win this weekend against Florida. Squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble, the Tigers are still projected to be in the field, however LSU cannot lose anymore home games. With five regular season games and the SEC Tournament remaining, 5 wins should be enough to get the Tigers into the tournament, depending on autobids and other bubble teams finishes.
Without Florida's top two sharp shooters, Florida has no one shooting over 33% from deep, so Florida has to go inside. The Gators used Devin Robinson (12 pts) and Alex Murphy (11 pts) as primary scorers in their 47-50 win against Vanderbilt this week, but Florida will have to find a way to score more points against LSU if they expect to win. The Tigers have not scored less than 60 points in a game this season.
Most Interesting Matchup:
Devin Robinson and Jordan Mickey will both be asked to be interior presences in this matchup. The freshman, Robinson, will need to be an offensive presence in order for Florida to have a chance in this one. Jordan Mickey needs to defend the paint and protect the ball more than he has lately.
Keys to the Game:
1. LSU cannot allow easy baskets. In a game where Florida features no true scorers, the easiest way for Florida to score will be in transition and on offensive rebounds. LSU cannot allow either to be a factor in this game.
2. Don't fall in love with the three pointer. LSU did it again versus Texas A&M. They hit a couple three's and fell in love with the deep ball. They ended the night shooting 33% (42.9% in first half and 20% in second half) and missed key shots toward the end of the game. LSU needs to attack the basket and make sure they put pressure on the Florida Defense.
3. Stay focused. LSU has gotten leads this year and lost focus. LSU cannot allow a Florida team, who plays good defense, to make a run on offense due to a lack of intensity on the defensive end. Protect the ball on offense, and defend the entire shot clock on the defensive side.
Prediction:
LSU 72, Florida 55
This post was edited on 2/20/15 at 9:20 am
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:25 am to SouthOfSouth
Good job SOS. To say this is a must win is an understatement.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:32 am to SouthOfSouth
KenPom still loves UF (they're ranked one spot ahead of LSU) because of their great defense. I'm shocked that they're still ranked so high despite being a .500 team. In the first game LSU was able to play more at their pace as opposed to UF's, and also did a very good job on the defensive end. Hopefully they can do the same.
You hate to speak in absolutes with this team, but shame on LSU is they lose this game.
Possibly the worst UF team in the Donovan era
They are without their two leading scorers
LSU is at home, with postseason hopes on the line.
You hate to speak in absolutes with this team, but shame on LSU is they lose this game.
Possibly the worst UF team in the Donovan era
They are without their two leading scorers
LSU is at home, with postseason hopes on the line.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:32 am to SouthOfSouth
I have faith that LSU gets this one. Hopefully, LSU gets a nice sized crowd to cheer them on.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:52 am to SouthOfSouth
How many in a row have you predicted wrong?
Really wish you would go with Florida on this one!
Really wish you would go with Florida on this one!
Posted on 2/20/15 at 10:26 am to SouthOfSouth
Thanks SOS. If LSU loses focus at any time in this game then it's time to start thinking about next year. I don't think they will do that. I agree with your score prediction. If both teams play their best LSU should win by 15-20. Get it done Tigers!
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:07 am to SouthOfSouth
Time for J Martin to show back up off of a 2 game hiatus. He's needing the double-double numbers.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:13 am to SouthOfSouth
With their top two scorers out, this game should resemble the Alabama game.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:32 am to SouthOfSouth
quote:
With five regular season games and the SEC Tournament remaining, 5 wins should be enough to get the Tigers into the tournament
With the loss to A&M, it is looking like we most likely will not be in the top 4 in SEC for the tournament. Could this benefit us if we win the first two games in the tournament more than getting the BYEs and being rested going into the next game?
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:32 am to SouthOfSouth
Considering UF is missing its best players I expect this one to be a knuckle down drag out to the bitter end, these are the games we completely lose focus.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:35 am to SouthOfSouth
quote:
Don't fall in love with the three pointer.
This. This. This.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:39 pm to SouthOfSouth
quote:
. Don't fall in love with the three pointer. LSU did it again versus Texas A&M. They hit a couple three's and fell in love with the deep ball. They ended the night shooting 33% (42.9% in first half and 20% in second half) and missed key shots toward the end of the game. LSU needs to attack the basket and make sure they put pressure on the Florida Defense.
I thought the first game was as good a lesson as we could get and if I'm not mistaken we shot more the second game. Very frustrating.
It's very late to learn lessons. Time to ball. Geaux Tigers!!
Posted on 2/20/15 at 10:57 pm to SouthOfSouth
How many players will Florida have in their rotation with those two out?
Posted on 2/21/15 at 10:59 am to SouthOfSouth
Florida is so bad this year wow. And it was just last year that they were in the final four
Posted on 2/21/15 at 11:34 am to SouthOfSouth
quote:
almost certainly looking at Billy Donovan's first sub 20 win season as head man of Florida.
his first 2 seasons at Florida they won 13 and 14 games
Posted on 2/21/15 at 12:08 pm to SouthOfSouth
I see empty premium seats where the LSU student section used to be when I was a student.
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