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Posted on 11/7/14 at 8:49 am to jac1280
One of those home dogs will cover...haven't put my finger in which one just yet though
Posted on 11/7/14 at 8:52 am to jac1280
Both home teams are coming off big wins last week.
Memphis seems like a solid teaser opportunity with the low total - I don't see them losing to Temple but it might be a close game. Memphis is a class above Temple.
Utah State is on QB #4 due to crazy injuries. They've been a hot team but I like Wyoming catching the hook.
Wyo +14 /Memphis -1 will be a Friday Night play for me.
Memphis seems like a solid teaser opportunity with the low total - I don't see them losing to Temple but it might be a close game. Memphis is a class above Temple.
Utah State is on QB #4 due to crazy injuries. They've been a hot team but I like Wyoming catching the hook.
Wyo +14 /Memphis -1 will be a Friday Night play for me.
Posted on 11/7/14 at 9:05 am to rocket31
YTD: 21-18-3; +1*
1* Wake Forest +21 WIN
1* Notre Dame +2½
2* Minnesota pick
1* Oklahoma -5
1* Virginia +20½
1* Wake Forest +21 WIN
1* Notre Dame +2½
2* Minnesota pick
1* Oklahoma -5
1* Virginia +20½
Posted on 11/7/14 at 9:13 am to rocket31
quote:
1* Notre Dame +2½
I agree with this. Notre Dame is the superior team and should win the game. I'll probably sprinkle the ML.
quote:
2* Minnesota pick
Iowa has been one of the tougher teams to handicap this year. What do you like about the Gophers? Seems like two evenly matched teams.
quote:
1* Oklahoma -5
I like the Sooners as well but I was hoping the line would closer to 3.
quote:
1* Virginia +20½
Virginia has been poor the last 3 weeks and FSU is getting healthier. I do like UVA simply bc Free Shoes @ Miami is on deck next week in a huge game and they probably won't be overly focused for this contest.
Posted on 11/7/14 at 9:25 am to Billy Mays
quote:
What do you like about the Gophers? Seems like two evenly matched teams.
Very even so that favors the home team in my analysis. Plus high RLM on this game as most of the public cards are on Iowa.
quote:
I like the Sooners as well but I was hoping the line would closer to 3.
whenever i see a -5, it screams to me that the one team is much significantly better than the other; OU is still a top ten talent wise. Just my two pennies.
Posted on 11/7/14 at 9:37 am to Billy Mays
Thank God almighty I didn't take Clemson or the under last night.
I am booked on ND and Kansas State.
I am booked on ND and Kansas State.
This post was edited on 11/7/14 at 9:56 am
Posted on 11/7/14 at 10:37 am to rocket31
quote:
whenever i see a -5, it screams to me that the one team is much significantly better than the other; OU is still a top ten talent wise. Just my two pennies.
Yeah I like aggressive lines like this sometimes - it can often lull the bettor into a false sense of security regarding the underdog.
Posted on 11/7/14 at 10:44 am to rocket31
I concur on the Sooners. I think OU wins big.
Baylor's OFFENSE actually struggled mightily against WVU and Texas. That's a huge red flag here IMO.
Baylor's OFFENSE actually struggled mightily against WVU and Texas. That's a huge red flag here IMO.
Posted on 11/7/14 at 10:56 am to Dr Rosenrosen
For those following the public betting trends for tonight's game, Temple is now a slight public lean at 51%. They were in the high 30s/low 40s earlier in the week.
For those betting guru's, what's your take on the late public surge for Temple?
TIA
For those betting guru's, what's your take on the late public surge for Temple?
TIA
Posted on 11/7/14 at 11:12 am to jac1280
The public saw Temple's straight up win vs. ECU as a 8 point underdog last week and thinks they can replicate it vs. Memphis.
However, if you look into the box score, ECU outgained Temple by a large margin, just derped multiple untimely turnovers.
This game is lay it or don't play it for me - trusting a public dog is not a typical situation I get on board with.
However, if you look into the box score, ECU outgained Temple by a large margin, just derped multiple untimely turnovers.
This game is lay it or don't play it for me - trusting a public dog is not a typical situation I get on board with.
Posted on 11/7/14 at 11:14 am to Billy Mays
quote:
trusting a public dog is not a typical situation I get on board with.
This is normally bad news
Posted on 11/7/14 at 11:16 am to jac1280
quote:
Memphis (-7.5) at Temple
Really hoping this gets bought down. Memphis is a strong team by Memphis standards this year. Hopefully tourist money gets put on Temple after they beat ECU last week.
Posted on 11/7/14 at 11:20 am to Billy Mays
Temple has a decent defense though, according to the Defense Efficiency rankings. They are 19th.
Also, Temple has the 3rd best Special Teams Efficiency ranking as well.
So,
Edit: And they are at home on a Friday night
Also, Temple has the 3rd best Special Teams Efficiency ranking as well.
So,
Edit: And they are at home on a Friday night
This post was edited on 11/7/14 at 11:21 am
Posted on 11/7/14 at 11:22 am to jac1280
quote:
Temple has a decent defense though, according to the Defense Efficiency rankings. They are 19th.
Also, Temple has the 3rd best Special Teams Efficiency ranking as well.
All that and they are still a 7.5 point home dog usually tells me something.
Posted on 11/7/14 at 11:25 am to MillerMan
You are probably right. I am very new to this betting thing.
Temple is 112th in Offense Efficiency.
Temple is 112th in Offense Efficiency.
Posted on 11/7/14 at 11:29 am to jac1280
ECU Temple
1st Downs 30 10
Total Yards 428 135
Passing 217 70
Rushing 211 65
Penalties 12-116 7-65
3rd Down Conversions 9-16 4-14
4th Down Conversions 0-2 0-0
Turnovers 5 0
Possession 30:59 28:50
1st Downs 30 10
Total Yards 428 135
Passing 217 70
Rushing 211 65
Penalties 12-116 7-65
3rd Down Conversions 9-16 4-14
4th Down Conversions 0-2 0-0
Turnovers 5 0
Possession 30:59 28:50
This post was edited on 11/7/14 at 11:30 am
Posted on 11/7/14 at 12:27 pm to jac1280
Dook -3 (-125) LARGE
Marshall -25
Marshall -25
Posted on 11/7/14 at 1:04 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Final card:
LSU +6.5
Minnesota -1
Oklahoma -5
Utah +8.5
Boston College +3
Vandy +14.5
Texas +3.5
LSU +6.5
Minnesota -1
Oklahoma -5
Utah +8.5
Boston College +3
Vandy +14.5
Texas +3.5
Posted on 11/7/14 at 1:07 pm to maclauer
Already locked in:
LSU +7 (-115)
Arizona -16.5 (-120)
Minnesota -115
LSU +7 (-115)
Arizona -16.5 (-120)
Minnesota -115
This post was edited on 11/7/14 at 1:09 pm
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