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re: Dallas Ebola patient to be prosecuted, circle of contact increased to 100
Posted on 10/3/14 at 12:35 pm to NC_Tigah
Posted on 10/3/14 at 12:35 pm to NC_Tigah
You are citing a generic number originating from a paper that explored the feasibility of certain classes of agents (in this case viral heamorragic fevers) as biological weapons.
There is little hard evidence to pin it down, but a number of those who work in the field with it think that number is absurd. It's "low," but it's low compared to some pathogen need 10000+ to cause a disease
And even if you want to take that number as a given, you have to consider that that means:
That is the number of organisms that gets in your blood somehow, not what you are exposed to. If you swallow fluid with a 1000 Ebola virions and you don't have a cut, gingivitis, or an ulcer, you won't come down with it.
There is little hard evidence to pin it down, but a number of those who work in the field with it think that number is absurd. It's "low," but it's low compared to some pathogen need 10000+ to cause a disease
And even if you want to take that number as a given, you have to consider that that means:
That is the number of organisms that gets in your blood somehow, not what you are exposed to. If you swallow fluid with a 1000 Ebola virions and you don't have a cut, gingivitis, or an ulcer, you won't come down with it.
Posted on 10/3/14 at 12:47 pm to Volvagia
quote:It's not just low, it's incredibly low.
It's "low," but it's low compared to some pathogen need 10000+ to cause a disease
The 1-10 number, I believe, was based on aerosolized lab exposures. Don't recall anything related to weaponization. Could be. But I don't recall that. I have seen it sourced in several papers. It is as impressive as anything I've read about Ebola. Is there data out there intimating lower potency?
Posted on 10/3/14 at 12:53 pm to Volvagia
quote:
If you swallow fluid with a 1000 Ebola virions and you don't have a cut, gingivitis, or an ulcer, you won't come down with it.
With the stories circulating about how people are contracting this, I don't think this is accurate. I have no evidence, just a hunch.
The latest American to come down with it was just "splashed with something".
Something is off here. I doubt all the people infected are walking around with obvious cuts in an area in which they are specifically there to deal with Ebola.
This post was edited on 10/3/14 at 12:54 pm
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