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re: Update pg 23: Russia,IMO, will default on its sovereign debt within six months

Posted on 12/16/14 at 9:26 am to
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
127102 posts
Posted on 12/16/14 at 9:26 am to
quote:

The schism between Putin and the central bank will have to be handled
What schism? The CBR's Governor, akin to our Fed Chairman, was appointed by Putin.

One article I read this morning said she got Putin's permission to raise the CBR's rate last night before she announced the increase.

The issue is people who grew up thinking a government command economy works the way the government orders it to are still in charge of Russia.

The concept of 'real' market forces eludes them completely.
_________________________________

Fwiw, I am starting to read stories in the media that Russia defaulting on its sovereign debt is no longer out of the question.

The thinking is coming around to what I've said when I started this thread: Russia's "massive" hard currency reserves may be an illusion. Russia is now reportedly selling some of its gold to raise dollars to support the ruble. Why would they be selling their gold reserves if the CBR actually owns a huge amount of dollars?
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51963 posts
Posted on 12/16/14 at 9:34 am to
quote:

What schism? The CBR's Governor, akin to our Fed Chairman, was appointed by Putin.

One article I read this morning said she got Putin's permission to raise the CBR's rate last night before she announced the increase.

The issue is people who grew up thinking a government command economy works the way the government orders it to are still in charge of Russia.

The concept of 'real' market forces eludes them completely.
_________________________________

Fwiw, I am starting to read stories in the media that Russia defaulting on its sovereign debt is no longer out of the question.

The thinking is coming around to what I've said when I started this thread: Russia's "massive" hard currency reserves may be an illusion. Russia is now reportedly selling some of its gold to raise dollars to support the ruble. Why would they be selling their gold reserves if the CBR actually owns a huge amount of dollars?


Nothing in that quote is wrong, yet you seem to have accrued a stalker that downvoted it.

Posted by Stingray
Shreveport
Member since Sep 2007
12421 posts
Posted on 12/16/14 at 10:27 am to
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
56604 posts
Posted on 12/16/14 at 10:55 am to
quote:

Russia is now reportedly selling some of its gold to raise dollars to support the ruble. Why would they be selling their gold reserves if the CBR actually owns a huge amount of dollars?
1234567vfl agrees
Posted by BennyAndTheInkJets
Middle of a layover
Member since Nov 2010
5611 posts
Posted on 12/16/14 at 11:16 am to
quote:

What schism? The CBR's Governor, akin to our Fed Chairman, was appointed by Putin.

Just because someone is appointed doesn't guard them from the inevitable criticism that comes when crisis happens.

I use the term "Putin" broadly to include his party members. There have been grumblings about this for a little bit but the only new story I've ever found about it is here, albeit not a great source. No, Fyodorov =/= Putin but Russia is one of the few countries where you can feel comfortable that party member's statements will generally not be against the party leader. Or that will be one of the last time you see that party member have a public statement for a while.
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