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re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB Betting Thread - Bring back the dcrews magic

Posted on 10/2/14 at 5:09 am to
Posted by 4LSU2
Member since Dec 2009
37343 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 5:09 am to
quote:

LSU/AU total seems low at 56, expected more like 64?????


Brandon Harris has at least 6 TD drives on Saturday. I'm going LSU and the over. LSU wins outright, IMO. I'm dead serious also. LSU's season restarted this past Saturday in the second quarter.

Harris has played ten drives this season. 9 of which resulted in TD's and the other one was the failed Hail Mary play against Miss St.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 6:33 am to
Pump the brakes.... A frosh QB ain't coming in to Jordan Hare and winning.
Posted by 4LSU2
Member since Dec 2009
37343 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 6:42 am to
quote:

Pump the brakes.... A frosh QB ain't coming in to Jordan Hare and winning.


Something special is in the air in South LA this week. I'm just saying that the Barners need to start getting mentally prepared that Miles is coming to derail any thought of repeating as West champs and the Plains will be a sea of tears by 10pm Saturday night.
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 7:10 am to
quote:

Harris has played ten drives this season. 9 of which resulted in TD's and the other one was the failed Hail Mary play against Miss St.

I agree with a lot of what you said but this is way wrong. He's had 10 drives in the last 2 games. He played one against Wisconsin, several against Sam Houston State and a couple against ULM.
Posted by 4LSU2
Member since Dec 2009
37343 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 7:13 am to
I don't count Wisconsin. The plays that he ran were not designed for his talent. They were merely an exercise of mental masturbation that the coaching staff made us all endure just to get him a few snaps in the game.

I'm probably just tying to convince myself of this, but I'm damn sure taking the 7.5 points on Saturday.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 7:19 am to
THREE BETS THIS WEEK......

STRAIGHT BET
[376] TCU +4½-105

210 / 200

STRAIGHT BET
[380] TEXAS +15-110

220 / 200

STRAIGHT BET
[384] MISSISSIPPI +6½-105

210 / 200

Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17673 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:08 am to
I know it's not completely applicable, but in 2004 JaMarcus started at Florida (THINK it was his first start) and completely stunk it up. Threw two picks deep inside his own territory. Marcus Randall had to come back in the game and win it (Addai ).

I think there's the potential for things to go bad for LSU on the road very early. And even if Harris hangs in there, the defense has shown me nothing other than its potential to get gashed by Auburn. Certainly would not take the ML, and I'm not sure 8 points is enough.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:18 am to
I'm starting to lean towards the over in that game... 56 seems way too low. I know historically, this is usually a low scoring affair, but this isn't your typical LSU defense.
Posted by SpartyGator
Detroit Lions fan
Member since Oct 2011
75491 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:27 am to
I don't post here too often, so apologize for ignorance

Q: Thoughts on the NEB @ MSU O/U at 59.5? Abdullah obviously is really good, but this will be the first real test for MSU since Oregon. I've only seen bits of the Huskers vs Miami. State has a very good D, but have had some pretty killer blown assignments at times. Just curious what ya'll thought on that. TIA.
This post was edited on 10/2/14 at 9:04 am
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:46 am to
FWIW, it's Phil Steele's high scoring game of the week.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25285 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 8:51 am to
I would probably look under the total of NEB/MSU.

Obviously this is MSU's most dynamic offense in years, but I worry about Nebraska's ability to complete enough forward passes. They are going to try to take the air out of the ball.
Posted by SpartyGator
Detroit Lions fan
Member since Oct 2011
75491 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 9:06 am to
quote:

HoLeInOnEr05
quote:

Billy Mays


Thanks I was just curious in general. I thought the O/U would be more of a interesting bet than the -7.

Excited about this whole slate of games
Posted by IceColdBeer
Sunbathing in Mission Beach
Member since Jan 2014
1076 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 9:27 am to
quote:

FWIW, it's Phil Steele's high scoring game of the week.


Take the under then. Steele is the new Brandon Lang
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25285 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 9:31 am to
quote:

Thanks I was just curious in general. I thought the O/U would be more of a interesting bet than the -7.


It's a pretty fascinating game that I would love to watch. I definitely expect a Sparty victory but Abdullah can make it interesting. Don't trust their QB at all tho.

quote:

Excited about this whole slate of games


I hear ya, I'm going to be at the OM/Bama game and I'm already lamenting not being at home watching on 3 TV screens . I wish we could save some of these matchups for next week.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30202 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 9:41 am to
Ok, work is slowing down.

What should I be on?!
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 11:24 am to
quote:

Take the under then. Steele is the new Brandon Lang






Steele is 15-9 on the year... I would hardly call hitting at a 62% clip Brandon Lang type numbers...
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 11:28 am to
Yeah. He's generally solid. Career winning record
Posted by WRedmondsStang
Member since Sep 2012
460 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 11:53 am to
Lsu total up to 57.5, Phil Steele followers making noise. Haha

Glad to see it going that way. I bet 5x my normal amount when it came out at 56. This gives me a better number to hedge some off if need be. Again, I expected 63-65, so I pounced hard on O 56 opening.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77517 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 1:00 pm to
5 unit bet on a total? LOL
Posted by Silky Johnston
DFW
Member since May 2013
998 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 2:16 pm to
Zona-Oregon total is really climbing today. Up to 83.5

Might have to take the under on principle at this point.
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