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re: OFFICIAL Week 4 CFB Betting Thread - dcrews strikes back
Posted on 9/15/14 at 10:42 am to Louie T
Posted on 9/15/14 at 10:42 am to Louie T
The A&M line is stupid low. They didn't cover 31.5 against North Texas. I know they may play somewhat inspired after June left, but I'm definitely putting a smooth $100 on the Ags to cover this week.
1
Posted on 9/15/14 at 11:05 am to LaBR4
Some of you Texas folks give me a reason why A&M line is so low?
Posted on 9/15/14 at 11:06 am to Tiger1242
North Texas beat them 43-6. Just let that sink in and do not over think this. A$M back ups should not even have trouble
This post was edited on 9/15/14 at 11:08 am
Posted on 9/15/14 at 11:08 am to blades8088
First half only for me...
Posted on 9/15/14 at 11:10 am to Dawgsontop34
quote:
The A&M line is stupid low. They didn't cover 31.5 against North Texas. I know they may play somewhat inspired after June left, but I'm definitely putting a smooth $100 on the Ags to cover this week.
The problem is, this is exactly how the books want you to think
Posted on 9/15/14 at 11:32 am to goldennugget
quote:
The problem is, this is exactly how the books want you to think
Well it was the same way for Baylor against SMU and I won money there. This line will be 35 before the week ends so put your money in on this game now.
Posted on 9/15/14 at 11:52 am to Dawgsontop34
Liking Vandy +21.5 right now while you can catch the hook. Ran some numbers last night and surprisingly I think Vandy can have some success moving the ball against South Carolina's D because of the way they are built. I think that line will close under 21, fwiw.
Posted on 9/15/14 at 12:00 pm to dgtiger3
In theory that's actually a good bet. In the eyes of the bettors South Carolina is "back" the bettors and Vandy is awful. Conference game on the road, +21.5 sounds nice. But damn it's hard to pull the trigger on Vandy 
Posted on 9/15/14 at 12:05 pm to dgtiger3
A few other observations.
Appalachain State +3.5, Utah +6 and Cal +12.5 are a few other dogs that I really like. App State line will probably get bet down pretty hard this week.
Don't get the Georgia Southern or Texas A&M lines either, Ga Southern has looked like they belonged with some Power 5 programs this year they can move the ball on anyone. SMU has been a complete shite show, not sure how this one doesnt get ugly in a hurry.
I like West Virginia and favor Clemson but you're going to have to wait until later this week to catch good numbers. Oklahoma RB being out just came out so the number dropped but it will slowly get back up close to 13 by Friday I would assume. Public money will pound FSU as well so that number will probably get back over 21 by Saturday if I had to guess.
Appalachain State +3.5, Utah +6 and Cal +12.5 are a few other dogs that I really like. App State line will probably get bet down pretty hard this week.
Don't get the Georgia Southern or Texas A&M lines either, Ga Southern has looked like they belonged with some Power 5 programs this year they can move the ball on anyone. SMU has been a complete shite show, not sure how this one doesnt get ugly in a hurry.
I like West Virginia and favor Clemson but you're going to have to wait until later this week to catch good numbers. Oklahoma RB being out just came out so the number dropped but it will slowly get back up close to 13 by Friday I would assume. Public money will pound FSU as well so that number will probably get back over 21 by Saturday if I had to guess.
Posted on 9/15/14 at 12:07 pm to castorinho
quote:
But damn it's hard to pull the trigger on Vandy
I faded them hard against Temple and Ole Miss. They are finally catching a number that is a more accurate reflection of where they are. Plus I just like the matchup and you throw the situation leading up to this week and it looks really solid.
Posted on 9/15/14 at 12:29 pm to dgtiger3
Thinking about buying the hook on LSU to -9.5.
Do y'all see this line going up any more than it has?
Do y'all see this line going up any more than it has?
Posted on 9/15/14 at 12:59 pm to jembeurt
quote:
Do y'all see this line going up any more than it has?
its at -10 on my website
Posted on 9/15/14 at 12:59 pm to dgtiger3
I just put 2 Units on A&M -31.5 and honestly I'm thinking about putting 2 more.
Maybe I'm a sucker but I just don't see anyway they don't cover that, they'll be up 31 by halftime, and SMU could barely even score on North Texas. There's no way they are scoring more than 10, and A&M is going to put up 50 at least
Maybe I'm a sucker but I just don't see anyway they don't cover that, they'll be up 31 by halftime, and SMU could barely even score on North Texas. There's no way they are scoring more than 10, and A&M is going to put up 50 at least
This post was edited on 9/15/14 at 1:08 pm
Posted on 9/15/14 at 1:06 pm to Tiger1242
quote:
I just put 2 Units on A&M +31.5
Can I use your bookie? I'm want to put down $150,000.
This post was edited on 9/15/14 at 1:08 pm
Posted on 9/15/14 at 1:08 pm to PurpleAndGold86
You know what I meant
Posted on 9/15/14 at 1:09 pm to Tiger1242
I can assure you if they don't cover that, I'll be going down in flames with you. 
Will be a first half play for me too when that comes out.
Will be a first half play for me too when that comes out.
Posted on 9/15/14 at 1:24 pm to PurpleAndGold86
I'm playing TAMU at -32.5. I can't figure out why the line is this low either.
I think App state might be a good play too
I think App state might be a good play too
Posted on 9/15/14 at 1:26 pm to BobRoss
Early adds
Colorado -7 vs. Hawaii (first road game for Hawaii)
Pitt -5.5 vs. Iowa (Pitt's win @ BC is looking better now)
Georgia Southern +2.5 @ USA (USA lost their Superbowl last week 35-3... wrong team is favored)
Colorado -7 vs. Hawaii (first road game for Hawaii)
Pitt -5.5 vs. Iowa (Pitt's win @ BC is looking better now)
Georgia Southern +2.5 @ USA (USA lost their Superbowl last week 35-3... wrong team is favored)
Posted on 9/15/14 at 1:50 pm to Billy Mays
Miami (OH) @ Cinci (-28)
Cal @ Arizona (-11)
Auburn @ Kansas State (+9)
Texas A&M (-32) @ SMU
South Carolina @ Vanderbilt (+21.5)
Indiana @ Missouri (-15)
Cal @ Arizona (-11)
Auburn @ Kansas State (+9)
Texas A&M (-32) @ SMU
South Carolina @ Vanderbilt (+21.5)
Indiana @ Missouri (-15)
Posted on 9/15/14 at 2:06 pm to Dawgsontop34
A&M fans say Sumlin and the SMU coach are best friends. i wonder if that will affect Sumlin's gas pedal.
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