re: Siap, McShay and Hoge discuss Mettenberger...

quote:

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You do know all these draft player rankings and mocks are just speculation? All of the "expert draft analysis" have completely different lists. Some have Mett as a top 5 QB. Some have him a top 3 QB. Some have him between 7-10. Its all speculation.

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Exactly. No one could ever accurately predict the draft. Every year guys go higher than projected, while others guys fall. Sometimes a team really wants to take a particular QB in the first round. If they aren't available they might pick up a tackle, and wait to see if value pick QB is available in another round.

Sometimes a guy might be the best overall rated guy at his position, but his style doesn't fit the scheme which allows him to get passed over for another guy.

Some teams aren't will to take risks on guys with various red flags.

Most drafts predictions try and look at team needs versus best player available, and then each pick falls into order as different guys come off the board. The draft is fluid, so a team comes in with an unexpected pick, and it could drastically change what other teams choose to do.