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re: Where do you see o&g headed in the future?

Posted on 3/19/14 at 6:49 am to
Posted by chauncey1
Member since May 2010
291 posts
Posted on 3/19/14 at 6:49 am to
The numbers I'm looking at...
LINK /
253 drill ships and semi subs running
366 jack ups running

3672 total rigs running
LINK

Deepwater- see 2005 post Katrina/Rita and moratorium.
Deep water requires inventory. Companies can sub rigs out.
It can also take a heavy toll on a company quick. Remember when Burlington got rid of offshore after 20+ dry holes in a row...
I expect land rig count to steadily increase if international shale plays pick up.
This post was edited on 3/19/14 at 9:27 am
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
38618 posts
Posted on 3/19/14 at 10:21 am to
I'm not trying to persuade anyone about this. I'm just speaking from my perspective as someone with over 20 years industry experience all across the globe.

It's been my experience that land work is very unpredictable and entire projects can be shut down in a flash. I've seen acres of brand new H&P Flex rigs laying in the grass because multiple companies shut down entire fields. Land rigs are cheaper, more generic, and in high supply. Oil companies can opt out of contracts with little repercussion.

New generation deep water rigs remain in high demand. The work environment is much more challenging and there are only so many rigs in existence capable of doing the work. When the deepwater GOM temporarily shut down those rigs simply moved to other locations around the globe.

I think the biggest mistake I ever made was leaving a deep water position overseas and taking one on land in the US. The work was far less stable and I was bored out of my mind within a few months. It's mostly repeating the same processes over and over.

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