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re: How many days in the future do extended forecasts become useless?
Posted on 2/3/14 at 4:50 pm to The Last Coco
Posted on 2/3/14 at 4:50 pm to The Last Coco
Depends on where. Some places are easier to forecast and models agree more frequently and further ahead than they do for other places.
In general though, beyond 2-3 days is a good general rule to consider a forecast not very reliable. For up here in the mountains, beyond 2 days isn't worth planning around. For Houston, 3 days out is usually somewhat reliable in a general sense. No matter where though, if timing and amount of precipitation is what you need, the day before is best of course.
ETA: NWS re-runs models and updates their forecasts multiple times a day, I think every 6 or 8 hrs if I remember right.
In general though, beyond 2-3 days is a good general rule to consider a forecast not very reliable. For up here in the mountains, beyond 2 days isn't worth planning around. For Houston, 3 days out is usually somewhat reliable in a general sense. No matter where though, if timing and amount of precipitation is what you need, the day before is best of course.
ETA: NWS re-runs models and updates their forecasts multiple times a day, I think every 6 or 8 hrs if I remember right.
This post was edited on 2/3/14 at 4:53 pm
Posted on 2/3/14 at 4:58 pm to ColoradoAg03
Yeah this was a trip up to the Rockies so it looks like I'm going to have to wait at least another week to start planning for specifics.
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