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re: How many days in the future do extended forecasts become useless?

Posted on 2/3/14 at 4:33 pm to
Posted by The Last Coco
On the water
Member since Mar 2009
6841 posts
Posted on 2/3/14 at 4:33 pm to
After 2-3 days, they give a general idea of what may happen in the 48-72 hr period surrounding a day, but little in planning a morning or afternoon event.
Posted by ColoradoAg03
Denver, CO
Member since Oct 2012
6222 posts
Posted on 2/3/14 at 4:50 pm to
Depends on where. Some places are easier to forecast and models agree more frequently and further ahead than they do for other places.

In general though, beyond 2-3 days is a good general rule to consider a forecast not very reliable. For up here in the mountains, beyond 2 days isn't worth planning around. For Houston, 3 days out is usually somewhat reliable in a general sense. No matter where though, if timing and amount of precipitation is what you need, the day before is best of course.

ETA: NWS re-runs models and updates their forecasts multiple times a day, I think every 6 or 8 hrs if I remember right.
This post was edited on 2/3/14 at 4:53 pm
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