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re: DoCho's Bowl Prediction Algorithm: Day 3

Posted on 12/24/13 at 11:53 am to
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 12/24/13 at 11:53 am to
quote:

Did you run this algorithm during the season? It seems bowl season would be a tough time to start an algorithm. Conference games at least a lot of the teams have common opponents. Bowl games are against out of conference teams, which seems like it will result in more error.


I started running mine the week of October 12, and tracked the results of all 4 models.

LINK

You can view the results there and use that data to cherry pick various angles as it breaks down the results into a lot of cross tabs.

Unfortunately, since pretty much all bowl games are at neutral sites the home/away breakdowns won't do much good.
This post was edited on 12/24/13 at 11:54 am
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 12/24/13 at 12:00 pm to
I knew you have been running yours for awhile, nugg.

I was wondering about DollaChoppa.
Posted by DeonG
Member since Aug 2009
466 posts
Posted on 12/24/13 at 9:36 pm to
quote:

I started running mine the week of October 12, and tracked the results of all 4 models.

LINK

You can view the results there and use that data to cherry pick various angles as it breaks down the results into a lot of cross tabs.

Unfortunately, since pretty much all bowl games are at neutral sites the home/away breakdowns won't do much good.



You have the average score as 25.9-30.4. I assume the latter is the home team?
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