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re: 1st Round pick: QB vs RB

Posted on 8/20/13 at 6:48 pm to
Posted by RedMustang
Member since Oct 2011
6851 posts
Posted on 8/20/13 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

The difference between the top QB and the 12th last year was like 80pts. The difference between the top RB and the 24th, which would theoretically be starters, was like 120 pts. Its much tougher to win with RB1, RB 30 and QB3 than with RB1, RB 14 and QB8.


It's actually a lot more accurate to calculate the mean rather than the difference between the top and bottom starters at each position. With two RB's, you theoretically won't end up with the 24th RB at the position, you'll end up with the 12th RB. This is in effect the last RB1. If you want to use your comparison, then figure the difference in points between the #1 and #12 RB. I'd go QB instead of RB with 6 pts. per TD.
Posted by bbrownso
Member since Mar 2008
8985 posts
Posted on 8/20/13 at 7:11 pm to
I read this Matthew Berry post at ESPN a week or two ago and it made a lot of sense given what I experienced in our league the last two years (most teams who spent their 1st round pick on a QB ended up not making the playoffs). It might give you r a new perspective on your question.

Matthew Berry - Draft Day Manifesto 2013

quote:

. . . . In fact, 10 different quarterbacks averaged 17 or so fantasy points per game last year. Two more averaged around 16 and No. 13, Andy Dalton, averaged 14.9. Seven others averaged 14 points a game. The quarterback position is the deepest I've ever seen it for fantasy purposes. . . .


It's a long but interesting read.
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