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re: Oil prices expected to drop? "Expect $50 oil, but not $2 gas"

Posted on 7/15/13 at 11:29 am to
Posted by Bayou Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
3659 posts
Posted on 7/15/13 at 11:29 am to
I work in the industry and have been expecting $50-60/bbl at some point. With a good bit of variable pay tied to oil and gas revenues, I have been enjoying the ride but have not been planning for it to continue indefinitely.

On a simplistic basis, if there is truly this limitless amount of oil to be developed in domestic shales, it seems like the price should at some point converge to the marginal development cost.

But I'm not expert by any means, so who knows.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54753 posts
Posted on 7/15/13 at 5:44 pm to
quote:

On a simplistic basis, if there is truly this limitless amount of oil to be developed in domestic shales, it seems like the price should at some point converge to the marginal development cost.


Sure if the drilling/production costs go way, way down due to tech advances then you could get sustained lower pricing.
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