| Posted by | Message |
heartbreakTiger 
LSU Fan
grinding for my grinders
Member since Jan 2008
101665 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/15/13 at 9:42 pm to Sheep)
i dont think that will be enough to get us in the tourny this year because of the sec. However, I dont see how people have us at below 50 % for the nit.
|
| Back to top | |
LSUtoOmaha
LSU Fan
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
20469 posts
 Online
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/15/13 at 9:51 pm to heartbreakTiger)
Because we could go 18-12 and have an RPI of 90.
|
| Back to top | |
Sheep 
USA Fan
Straight Outta Acy
Member since Jun 2007
12969 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 11:49 am to heartbreakTiger)
quote:
i dont think that will be enough to get us in the tourny this year because of the sec. However, I dont see how people have us at below 50 % for the nit.
That's great.
quote:
Conference is terrible. They'll be lucky to get 5 teams in
And that's great.
I found my post from last year.
I was off on the .500 part. It's "a game above .500", and it's conference record that mattered, not overall.
quote:
Over the last 10 years:
The SEC has failed to get AT LEAST 5 teams in twice (2010, 2009)
Over the last 10 years:
9-7 has been lower than 5th place once (6th place, 2006... you may recall, the SEC had two Final Four teams that year.) Some seasons, 9-7 can get you third, but 5th place is usually where it puts you.
Over the last 10 years:
71 of the 80 SEC tournament semi-finalists made the NCAAs. Of the nine that didn't make it, all but three had records below 9-7. The interesting thing is that those three semifinalists (with records 9-7 or better) came in the last three seasons: Alabama @ 12-4 last year, State at 9-7 in 2010, and Auburn @ 10-6 in 2009.
And that was before last year's tournament.
Last season, the SEC only got four teams in (and Tennessee was the "odd man out" at 10-6 conference, 18-13 overall.) 3 of the 4 SEC tournament semifinalists made it to the NCAAs. (9-7 Alabama made it over 8-8 semifinalist Ole Miss.) I'm pretty sure if Tennessee would have made the semis, they would have gone to the tourney.
So, if LSU finishes above .500 in conference, and makes it to the semis of the tournament, they have a pretty good shot to make the NCAAs.
I think both of those are possible, though they'll have to hold home court and steal one on the road to get above .500.
|
| Back to top | |
The Boat
LSU Fan
:red:
Member since Oct 2008
46837 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 11:50 am to Sheep)
LSU's RPI is in the 100s. Good luck making it without winning every game from here on out.
|
| Back to top | |
ellessuuuu
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2004
3058 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 12:13 pm to The Boat)
ESPN Has our RPI around 99. Assuming we win today (and if not, we have major problems) and go 3 and 3 down the stretch. That puts us at 18-11 (9-9). Win one in the SEC Tournament and we are 19-12 and probably in the NIT.
If we win out and finish 21-8 we would probably be on the bubble. Assuming we win one at the SEC Tournament we finish 22-9 and will have won 9 of 10 with top 50 wins against: Mizzou (twice); Ole Miss (assuming Kennedy doesn't implode) and then maybe Alabama. Also the four point loss at Marquette is looking better. Bad Losses: South Carolina and Auburn. That is a bubble resume.
Given all that my prediction is that we finish 20-12 and make the NIT.
This post was edited on 2/16 at 12:15 pm
|
| Back to top | |
Tiger1242
LSU Fan
Member since Jul 2011
13268 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 12:36 pm to T)
quote:
its very likely we win the sec tourney.
LOL wut?
|
| Back to top | |
Drex
LSU Fan
Kenner, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2007
161 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 5:33 pm to Tiger1242)
Our chances are improving with each game down the stretch. We're getting better as a team with every game. How important is a strong finish and what are our odds now ? NCAA ? Still slim to none unless we win out but NIT? 80-90%
|
| Back to top | |
LSUsCRYSTALball
LSU Fan
Member since Dec 2012
1697 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 5:54 pm to tomthum81)
NIT, maybe
NCAA, no
|
| Back to top | |
The Boat
LSU Fan
:red:
Member since Oct 2008
46837 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 6:33 pm to LSUsCRYSTALball)
LSU will be a high seed in the NIT and hopefully get a home game. Unless thee administration wants to be a bitch again this season.
|
| Back to top | |
lsuallen
LSU Fan
reform ,alabama
Member since Dec 2012
89 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 6:34 pm to heartbreakTiger)
Man,if we can win @ tenn.,we've got bama,arky,&ole miss @ home.we need at least 3 wins in the s.e.c. and a good game against florida if they're in the title game.still may not be enough though.losses to s.carolina and auburn look horrible.
|
| Back to top | |
gotygers
LSU Fan
west St.Tammany
Member since Sep 2007
2874 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 6:59 pm to lsuallen)
Why would we split our games?
Bama barely beat us at home you don't think we can beat Bama and Ole miss at home? You don't think we can win at Missouri ?
The toughest game may be Tenn on the road.
By the way the team Florida played no longer exist , this team has so improved !
We can run the table . Our two toughest games will be at Tenn and at Missouri . Allot IMHO depends on what happens Tuesday night . If we win and it will be tough we could run the table and make the NCAA with 2 wins in the SECT.
This post was edited on 2/16 at 7:01 pm
|
| Back to top | |
jeff70121
LSU Fan
Metairie
Member since Dec 2011
233 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 7:02 pm to ellessuuuu)
Here's how we make the tourney;
1. Get 20 wins
2. Don't get blown out in the losses
3. Win at least two in the SEC tourney
4. Automatic Bid - Win the SEC tourney
Record now 15-8 (6-6) with 6 regular season remaining and then the SEC tourney.
That's my story & I'm sticking to it!
|
| Back to top | |
The Boat
LSU Fan
:red:
Member since Oct 2008
46837 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 7:05 pm to gotygers)
LSU's RPI is 103. 
We could have a legitimate discussion about this if LSU didn't lose to Auburn and South Carolina.
This post was edited on 2/16 at 7:16 pm
|
| Back to top | |
fightingtigers98 
New Orleans Saints Fan
Metairie
Member since Oct 2011
5884 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 7:12 pm to The Boat)
quote:
LSU didn't lose to Auburn and South Carolina.
gonna kill us for the tourny. We will probably make the NIT as a high seed
|
| Back to top | |
LSUGrad9295
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
10107 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 7:15 pm to The Boat)
Does anyone recall the dog shite non conference schedule we played? 6 of our OOC wins are vs teams with an RPI of 214 or worse. Our marquee win? You got it. Northwestern State with an RPI of 87. And we have a loss to a 200's RPI team in South Carolina. There is nothing about our resume that even remotely merits NCAA consideration. If we win out, then come talk to me, but even then there won't be much to see. The SEC is horrible compared to past years.
|
| Back to top | |
The Boat
LSU Fan
:red:
Member since Oct 2008
46837 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 7:17 pm to LSUGrad9295)
Those Auburn and Arkansas losses suck so much now. LSU would be 8-4 and looking to finish 2nd in the SEC. Oy vey.
|
| Back to top | |
gotygers
LSU Fan
west St.Tammany
Member since Sep 2007
2874 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 7:50 pm to The Boat)
We have so improved ! A win over Bama and ole miss and Missouri at Missouri will substantially raise our RPI !!!
|
| Back to top | |
fightingtiger2335 
Southeastern LA Fan
heh?
Member since Aug 2007
52356 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 8:05 pm to LSUGrad9295)
You're so cool
|
| Back to top | |
gotygers
LSU Fan
west St.Tammany
Member since Sep 2007
2874 posts
| re: Chance of Tourney? NIT? (Posted on 2/16/13 at 8:08 pm to gotygers)
If we win out and make it to the semi finals of the SECT we are in our RPI would be about 50 IMHO . That is if we win out and win 2 games in the SEC T to make the semi finals
|
| Back to top | |
LSUGrad9295
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
10107 posts
|
Why am I so cool? Because I presented an opinion then backed it up with hard facts?
|
| Back to top | |
