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re: 1/31/13 Basketball, Hockey, Soccer Bet Thread - A New Day Ed.

Posted on 1/31/13 at 3:06 pm to
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 3:06 pm to
2 units: MEM/OKC 1Q under 48

fade away
Posted by 23hvlhoff94
Houston, Norman
Member since Jan 2013
553 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 3:11 pm to
Mac playing an under?

Is this real life? Are you telling us to fade on purpose because the over is the real play? What is even real anymore?
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

Mac playing an under?

Is this real life? Are you telling us to fade on purpose because the over is the real play? What is even real anymore?

similar situation to the Cavs/Warriors 1H under I played a few nights ago

I have it at 46 with Gay fwiw
Posted by TJG210
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
28335 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 3:14 pm to


Is this a pig in a poke that Memphis will come out discombobulated with Gay gone? Is this based on numbers when he was injured? Seems like a high number and Memphis really hasn't been scoring with Gay.

I may tail you on this, just trying to see what's behind the curtain.

Any confidence in the half under of 95.5?

I hope you don't see comments like this as a criticism.....
This post was edited on 1/31/13 at 3:18 pm
Posted by TheFranchise
The Stick
Member since Feb 2005
6202 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 3:24 pm to
from Stuckey's twitter:

Early locked in NCAA tomorrow: North Dakota +7, Wazu -2.5, St. Louis -2 & Washington +5.5

Early lock in of Caps +105 tomorrow
Posted by TJG210
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
28335 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 3:25 pm to
How has his basketball been doing?
Posted by TheFranchise
The Stick
Member since Feb 2005
6202 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 3:28 pm to
not sure, I don't really tail him and only started following him on twitter a couple days ago. someone asked for his picks so I cut and pasted them.

maybe someone else has a better feel for how he's been doing w/ bball
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

Is this a pig in a poke that Memphis will come out discombobulated with Gay gone? Is this based on numbers when he was injured? Seems like a high number and Memphis really hasn't been scoring with Gay.

I may tail you on this, just trying to see what's behind the curtain.

Any confidence in the half under of 95.5?

I hope you don't see comments like this as a criticism.....

full disclosure: my number is 46 with Gay

2 points of value is usually worth a 1x play from me. Lately, however, I've only been playing overs because that's what had been hot. I decided to make it a 2x because you replace Gay with Prince (a worse offensive player and better defender) and combine that with the fact that these TNT Thursday games usually get off to slow starts because players give a damn about defense on nationally-televised games.

Again, my system has always made the picks and it has been my discretion to throw them out, play them, or 2x them. For instance, the 2Q over in this game qualifies as a play but I'm throwing it out. The 3Q under in the Mavs game also qualifies as a play but, again, I'm throwing it out.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

Any confidence in the half under of 95.5?

with Gay numbers have 2Q at 51 and 1H at 97, fwiw


ETA: but idk the substitution patterns will be in that game, which is why I'm just playing the 1Q. Same reason why I threw out the Mavs 3Q under, just not sure what the Warriors roster is gonna look like tonight.
This post was edited on 1/31/13 at 3:37 pm
Posted by TJG210
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
28335 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 4:00 pm to
I may throw .5 on the 1H U for shits.......

Can't get any worse than the past 3 nights....
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

New Grizzlies Tayshaun Prince, Ed Davis and Austin Daye are not expected to play on Thursday.

They're gonna struggle to score and try to bring the Thunder down with them by slowing the pace and working hard on D, IMO
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 4:04 pm to
and if you're wondering why my numbers love the 2Q over:

Bayless/Martin bench shooting contest
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 4:08 pm to
Caps/Sharks ML parlay.
ETA: Bruins/Flames ML parlay.
This post was edited on 1/31/13 at 4:10 pm
Posted by TJG210
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
28335 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 4:13 pm to
Bama is that your picks?
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 4:13 pm to
last night might not have worked out but we got great value

and today right after I locked the 1Q under, its price went from -110 to -120
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 4:14 pm to
Yeah, those are just mine.

I'm not a hockey expert. But I'm trying to follow it more.
Posted by 1fairbank
Smells Funny
Member since Sep 2011
1374 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

Caps/Sharks ML parlay. ETA: Bruins/Flames ML parlay.


I'm on the Opponent Puck Line for every one of these games. Here's to 1 goal wins

ETA except the Caps, they can win, if they can
This post was edited on 1/31/13 at 4:17 pm
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 4:20 pm to
Also, looking at Winnipeg/Florida O5.5 at +114.

ETA: Added Jets/Panthers O5.5. Florida gives up the most goals against and shots against so far this season. Winnipeg is middle of the pack on most stats. If we could get two goals out of Florida, I think this goes over.
This post was edited on 1/31/13 at 4:27 pm
Posted by TheFranchise
The Stick
Member since Feb 2005
6202 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 4:31 pm to
Stuckey?@Stuckey2

Final: N. Dakota +7, Wazu -2.5, STL -2 & Wash +5.5. Caps +105, Fla +100, Fla/Win Under 5.5, Bos/Buf Under 5.5 & SJ/No Col/Mich St +145


Just posted
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77345 posts
Posted on 1/31/13 at 4:36 pm to
A hockey capper i follow posted edmonton O 5.5; pitt O 5.5; and lean to Edm +175
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