re: NFL Betting Thread Week 14

True, but the Raiders have lost by 21+ 3 of the last 5 games.

I'm backing Denver -9.5 despite the 23-2 ATS trend of home dogs of 8+ over last 3 years.

Oakland's defense is miserable. in this 5 game losing streak, allowing over 7 yards per play (unheard of in NFL, college like statistic) and 38 PPG...they have absolutely no pass rush whatsoever... this was a reason I backed Denver against TB and covered (only by 1 point, but only due to backdoor was it so close). Oakland made Weeden look like Brady last week, and can't stop the run either (recall Martin's 250 yard rushing performance). All metrics indicate Oakland is the worst team in the NFL right now.

Oakland's offense hovers in the below average-average area, I don't think McFadden makes much of a difference. Palmer's having an okay year, but Denver has an elite defense and especially an elite pass rush.

I expect Manning to shred this defense. 30/38 for 338 yards in the last meeting, a 37-6 win.

I think Broncos win by 14-17 points and cover. Oakland only keeps this close with a lucky day as far as turnovers/penalties. REALLY bad football team.