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re: OFFICIAL Week 12 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 11/11/12 at 8:54 pm to
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
66377 posts
Posted on 11/11/12 at 8:54 pm to
USC -3 looks awesome
Wake +24 is juicy
UTEP -3.5 gives me wood
Tennessee +4 might be my wtf play of the week
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 11/11/12 at 11:09 pm to
I might make my own featured pick of the week.

425's This Team's Less Shitty Than The Other Team - 425TTLSTTOT

UTSA -6 against Idaho

UTSA can at least put up points (30 ppg).
Idaho can't put up points (15 ppg).

Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 11/11/12 at 11:13 pm to
USC -3 looks so easy. I want to go huge on this game even though SC has f'ed me over so many times already this year. They beat UCLA by 50 last year.

Tenn +4
BYU -3
Wake +24
Stanford +21.5
Northwestern +6.5

I like these alot!
Posted by Chef Leppard
Member since Sep 2011
11739 posts
Posted on 11/11/12 at 11:13 pm to
quote:

- 425TTLSTTO


well it is very catchy at least
Posted by Chef Leppard
Member since Sep 2011
11739 posts
Posted on 11/11/12 at 11:18 pm to
quote:

Stanford +21.5


I got excited when this line first came out. but god dam is betting against Oregon not to cover horrifying

Theyre averging 55 points a game. that's just insane
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82010 posts
Posted on 11/11/12 at 11:23 pm to
That Stanford line is ridiculous.
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 11/11/12 at 11:26 pm to
Stanford is no pushover. They have a good defense and are well coached. I'm not sure Oregon will be able to stop Stanford's run game.
Posted by StrawberriousJackson
Member since Nov 2012
141 posts
Posted on 11/12/12 at 10:39 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 2/6/13 at 1:48 pm
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 11/12/12 at 10:43 am to
quote:

ND can't cover large spreads


really dont understand where that logic comes from...

they beat:
Navy by 40
MSU by 17
Miami by 38
Oklahoma by 17


Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 11/12/12 at 10:47 am to
quote:

Biggest bet of the year?


Yes sir. Cal ran on Oregon for 6.0 yards a carry. USC had over 5 yards a carry. Stanford is the best defense and rushing offense Oregon has played all year.

I look for Stanford to *attempt* to control the clock with their ground game behind Taylor. Hogan is also a dual threat QB and he should help the rushing attack as long as he doesnt turn the ball over.


My hard numbers are 37-23 so I see a lot of value in the +22.5.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80760 posts
Posted on 11/12/12 at 10:49 am to
Okay, allow me to rephrase.


ND rarely covers large spreads against much weaker teams.

BC didn't belong on the same field as ND.
Pitt is atrocious
BYU is good, but only 3 point victory?

The past 5 games, they have had 1 decisive ATS victory and that was OU. ND seems to be jeckle & hide in terms of covering.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 11/12/12 at 10:52 am to
quote:

. ND seems to be jeckle & hide in terms of covering.


It is probably not a good idea to bet them. Are they 24 points better than Wake? Of course, but who knows what offense will show up. Wake is the worst offensive team ND will face all year though which is why the line is so high.

One of NDs best WRs is out for the year with a broken clavicle so if you are leaning towards Wake then that might the ammo you need to make your decision.
This post was edited on 11/12/12 at 10:54 am
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80760 posts
Posted on 11/12/12 at 11:17 am to
I agree that ND as a team is more than 24 points better than Wake...but its whether or now that offense will show up and prove it. I'll probably lay off of this one
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80760 posts
Posted on 11/12/12 at 11:18 am to
quote:

TigerTatorTots. I have tailed every one of your 2* or higher plays this year, thanks for making me some money!

Glad I could help


At least one aspect of my capping is very successful this year. The rest of my plays have been pretty meh
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17665 posts
Posted on 11/12/12 at 11:22 am to
There sure are some shitty SEC games this week. I might put some money on Western Carolina, Sam, Jax St, Ga Southern, Wofford... Thought is that in late season rentawins, they lay off the gas sooner in September, and those teams could cover 45 or so points.
Posted by vegas-tiger
NV desert
Member since Dec 2003
2061 posts
Posted on 11/12/12 at 5:42 pm to
ND in look ahead mode, I might bet WF.
Posted by Ghazi
Dallas Mavs 2011 NBA Champions
Member since Dec 2007
16121 posts
Posted on 11/12/12 at 5:46 pm to
you still see value in Stanford +21?
Posted by tigerNation09
New Orleans PELICANS Fan
Member since Nov 2008
12977 posts
Posted on 11/12/12 at 5:49 pm to
Their qb Kevin hogan is legit imo
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 11/12/12 at 8:14 pm to
This is me after this week


Posted by JJJrich
Member since Oct 2010
533 posts
Posted on 11/12/12 at 10:33 pm to
BYU -3 and -3.5 (1 on each)
Ball St. -3 and -3.5 (1 on each)
Northern Illinois -10 (bought the half point)
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