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re: OFFICIAL Week 12 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 11/14/12 at 11:50 pm to
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 11/14/12 at 11:50 pm to
Thoughts on this teaser? Ties win, pays -115
UVA +10
Over 55
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 11/14/12 at 11:51 pm to
quote:

Leans:
WV
UCF
UVA
Arky
UCLA


UCLA, huh? I'll be going with the Fighting Kiffin's on that one.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 11/14/12 at 11:54 pm to
I love betting dogs and both teams have been very different at home vs on the road.

Just a lean.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 11/14/12 at 11:59 pm to
quote:

Thoughts on this teaser? Ties win, pays -115
UVA +10
Over 55


I don't know what happened to UVA the past two weeks, but in my mind, they still blow. I mean, they're only 21 days removed from losing to goddamn wake forest. How much better could they have possibly gotten?

I do think the over looks safe, but I could see UVA getting their asses whupped. I could also see UNC getting their asses whupped. The only teams in the ACC I feel safe betting on (or against) are: Clemson (because their offense is sick); Wake (because they're atrocious); and BC (because they're also atrocious). FSU used to be on that list, but they came way way way too close to losing me about two dimes last Thursday (had them on the ML against VT...risked 2K to win 400).
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 12:01 am to
quote:

Anyone like North Carolina tomorrow? Giovani Bernard is an animal.



Don't. Do. It.


Our defense blows right now.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 12:02 am to
quote:

I love betting dogs and both teams have been very different at home vs on the road.

Just a lean


It's funny how some people have a preference one way or another. I very much prefer betting favs. But I have a good buddy, who I talk picks with, who is always looking to grab points. Interesting phenomenon.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 12:03 am to
I try and grab a even amount of dogs and faves. But my favorites always seem to do better. I think I force a few too many dogs sometimes.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 12:11 am to
quote:

Yeah, but you figure if the smaller shop makes a line at -10 for Team A and all the bigger shops open at -17, then the small shop probably assumes they are off and goes with the market at -17. If that makes sense. Again, this is all total guess on my part.


No, it makes sense. I just wonder if that's actually how it plays out. I find this stuff fascinating.

How does one go about getting a gig at a sportsbook? And not like the cashier job or anything. But the guy -- or one of the guys -- who actually gets to set the lines and make the call on when to move the lines. I'd love to do that for a living.

Do you have know somebody? Do you have to start low and work your way up? Or do you just go out to Vegas and start gambling and if you start kicking their arse, they take notice and hire you?
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 12:14 am to
quote:

I try and grab a even amount of dogs and faves. But my favorites always seem to do better. I think I force a few too many dogs sometimes.


Same here. I used to try to force dogs, but there was just no denying that my winning percentage in taking favs was way way better than when taking dogs. Now I pretty much only take dogs when I think they're going to win the game outright.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 12:16 am to
quote:

I don't know what happened to UVA the past two weeks, but in my mind, they still blow. I mean, they're only 21 days removed from losing to goddamn wake forest.

UNC also lost to WF.

UNC 1-3 on the road against a hot team on a short week and I get a key #? Sounds good to me.

Gonna play, just not sure if I want UVA and over stright-up or teased, and if I want to throw anything on UVA ML.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 12:17 am to
My guess would be that you'd have to work your way up unless you knew someone.

@Lindetrain on twitter started out as cashier and is now promoted to a supervisor. He's working his way up. I believe he was just outta college.

And I agree with your sentiments on dogs and faves. Pretty much how I feel about it.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 12:22 am to
9-1 day across all sports. Damn missed some of the NBA guy I tail picks. I got 3 of them and went 3-0. He had 10 total for the day and went 10-0.
Posted by tigerbaittrick
Member since Jan 2010
7265 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 12:27 am to
10-0 damnnn hook us up bama
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 12:31 am to
I'll post his NBA plays in NBA thread. He sells his picks for a lifetime for a 50 dollar donation to cancer research if anyone is interested. He is pretty stout with NFL. His record this year is pretty damn good. Pretty good in CFB too Struggled so far in CBB. NBA is definitely his strong suit.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 12:34 am to
Decided:

.5* Parlay UVA ML/Over 61.5 (pays +377)
1* UVA TT over 29
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 3:26 am to
quote:

I'll post his NBA plays in NBA thread. He sells his picks for a lifetime for a 50 dollar donation to cancer research if anyone is interested. He is pretty stout with NFL. His record this year is pretty damn good. Pretty good in CFB too Struggled so far in CBB. NBA is definitely his strong suit.



Who is this?
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 6:08 am to
Alright y'all, I'm in big on ULM, Buffalo, and MTSU. ATS and ML.

These three teams are simply not allowed to lose this week.
Posted by Chef Leppard
Member since Sep 2011
11739 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 6:35 am to
I'm big on converting to Islam at the moment.

The 100 bucks I pulled off Toledo didn't faze the monster lick I took on that over. I'm a morose son of a bitch this morning

Got to find a solid couple plays to pull out of this shite
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 6:46 am to
quote:

I'm big on converting to Islam at the moment.

The 100 bucks I pulled off Toledo didn't faze the monster lick I took on that over. I'm a morose son of a bitch this morning

Got to find a solid couple plays to pull out of this shite


Do you have an account or a guy, or both?
Posted by Chef Leppard
Member since Sep 2011
11739 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 7:11 am to
Moved to a new area beginning of summer. Been using an acct since then. Topbet.eu
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