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re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 10/9/12 at 9:52 pm to
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
12977 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 9:52 pm to
quote:

Is there any reason I should avoid Oregon state +6 @ BYU. (both teams are missing QB's)?


Nelson's backup is actually better than him. We know nothing about OSU's back and Riley's offense is fricking complicated. I would put no money on this game.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 9:53 pm to
I'll ride the square wheels until they stop rollin'.
Posted by TexasTiger1185
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2011
13070 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 9:56 pm to
My sister goes to TTU. I've watched more than a handful of their games in the past few years and I dont' think they are any good.


That being said the have upset someone the past 4-5 years consecutive. They missed their chance to upset OU(who did already have a loss) and UT already has a loss. That leaves Kstate and WVU as their teams to upset.

I'm not saying there is an upset ( I took WVU 3*) but I am just pointing out their history a little.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46121 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 10:04 pm to
I just don't think tech had the players to keep up
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3736 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 10:10 pm to
quote:

My sister goes to TTU. I've watched more than a handful of their games in the past few years and I dont' think they are any good.


5-7 Syracuse beat basically this exact same WV team 49-23 last year at home. Were they very good? I have had more success betting on situations than matchups in my betting career. I'm not saying Tech is a lock, I mean anything can happen but I feel like I have a great read on this game. Good luck. Somebody's gotta win.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46121 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 10:36 pm to
if the line was +7.5 or something id say maybe you have something but i just dont think its a smart play. normally id say good luck but ill be on the other side so hope you go down in burning flames with that one
Posted by Flatt2Flowers04
Miami, FL
Member since Jul 2011
3357 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 10:43 pm to
Late to the party, WV -4.5 @ TT - half my mf'in bankroll. Tech is garbage, back to back road games for WV or not they will roll
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 11:08 pm to
To be clear, Riley Nelson is starting. Taysom Hill has been playing and is now out for the season for BYU.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 11:12 pm to
The more I think about this game I think I'm gonna play the Texas Tech 1h line. West Virginia has let lesser teams hang with them for a half and they are sure to be jet lagged after traveling all these miles back to back weeks. The game obviously has the signs of a trap game and so many times I've seen the favorite pull away late in the fourth in these situations because the lines makers didn't give the dog enough points. I think Tech will definitely still be in this one at the half.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 11:54 pm to
quote:

Anyone liking duke +10 vs VT? I think VT chokes this one away.


Duke may win the game outright.

And even if they don't, Duke has shown that they have the ability to move the ball. I think they can score on VT, and keep the game close.

I was really surprised when I saw this line come out. I had it at VT-6.5
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 11:57 pm to
quote:

Does anyone see Tenn vs. Miss St a 31-27 game? Total is 57.5. That seems like a lot of points for an SEC game. Maybe just seems that way since I'm an LSU fan. I kind of like the under.


Tennessee can score.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/9/12 at 11:59 pm to
quote:

Fade the pub. Biggest trap game of the week. WVU's 2nd long road trip in two weeks. That is brutal for college kids. Absolutely no defense for WVU. It is not very wise to lay points on the road when a team has no D. Tough home field adv for TTech with homecoming week and all. OU had a bye to prepare for Tech so I'm not looking into that game all that much. Looking like RLM in this one and just a perfect situational play for Tech.


I agree that WVU/TTU has that "trap game" feel. I think WVU is the better team by far, but this might be one I lay off.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46121 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 12:35 am to
It's not like they are taking a bus. It's a plane ride. Oh how tough they can't play football after that!?

Tech doesn't have a d either. Just don't see tech being able to stop WV. WV will stop tech a couple times
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:00 am to
quote:

Games I'm going to look at more:

UAB +14.5
Fresno St +7.5
Bama -21.5 (if it drops to 21)
Tennessee +3
ULM -24
LA Tech +8
Kent St -1.5


UAB is probably my second favorite underdog game after Duke.

I think the Fresno / Boise line is about right

I like Bama even at -21.5

I like Tennessee, but I don't bet on them because I can't stay objective.

I like ULM, but I fear the line may move in the next day or two and my bookie won't let me put in plays until thursday morning.

I may lay off the LaTech / TAMU game. I just don't know what to think about it. I like both teams.

I like Kent State. I think the line is already up to 2.5
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:05 am to
quote:

LSUAlum2001


quote:

Pitt +3
Houston -13.5



What are your rationales for these two games?
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:08 am to
quote:

Nelson's backup is actually better than him. We know nothing about OSU's back and Riley's offense is fricking complicated. I would put no money on this game.


From what I've seen of the two, Nelson is better than Hill.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:14 am to
quote:

I will never understand just blindly following people


Me either.

I don't do this as a way to support myself; I do it because I find it intellectually interesting. To me, coming up with my own angles is the fun of it.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:16 am to
quote:

I think BYU gets it done ... That fricking D is legit bro!


The problem with BYU is that they can't score.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46121 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 7:49 am to
Exactly. Winning BC you were right is the fun of it
Posted by carmenjello
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2011
93 posts
Posted on 10/10/12 at 10:54 am to
I also agree with the trap game feel. I think the public pounds WVU later in the week. Will wait and see where this line moves and possibly take Tech right before game.

leaning

107 Western Kentucky -2.5
178 LSU -2.5
153 Kansas State -6.5
175 Tennessee U +3

What do y'all think about Kentucky at Arkansas -17
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