re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™

9-4 on Saturday +410. (1 unit win = +100, 1 unit loss = -110)

17-8 on the college football season
(68%) +1240
13-5 on sides
4-3 on totals


Essentially I did some digging and researched boxscores and stats of underdogs that won outright or lost a close game that had a large spread over the last 5 seasons.
I found a few tendencies that the underdogs and favorites had and starting building a formula in excel to determine how vulnerable a favorite was and how "live" a dog was.

I then used a few websites and programs to retroactively plug in stats over random dates throughout the last few years and found that it was really accurate.
We combined this with some other advanced metrics that we have been tweaking for a few seasons and the results have been good so far.

The main goal was to bet on underdogs that we thought could/should win outright. We have had overwhelming success in that regard in our first two weeks.
Of our 13 wins, 9 were dogs that won outright.

Week 5
Oregon St. +2.5 won by 3
Cincinnati +6.5 won by 3
Kent St. +2.5 won by 2
Middle Tenn St +27.5 won by 21
Toledo +1.5 won by 20

Week 4
Rutgers +8.5 won by 9
Oregon St +7.5 won by 7
La Tech +3 won by 28
Ball St +8.5 won by 5