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The point spread just doesn't seem right?

Posted on 9/17/12 at 2:54 pm
Posted by lsutiger2011
Georgia
Member since Jan 2009
1294 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 2:54 pm
How are we only 18.5 favorites against Auburn? Auburn is atleast the 4th to 6th worst team in the West. If we are only favored by 3 possessions to them I hate to see what the spread will be when we play Florida, South Carolina, Mississippi State, Alabama, and Arkansas.
Posted by RonFNSwanson
University of LSU
Member since Mar 2012
23206 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 2:55 pm to
then put your money on it if you think its so low
Posted by DollaChoppa
I Simp for ACC
Member since May 2008
84774 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 2:55 pm to
It's on the plains.
Posted by Elleshoe
Wade’s World
Member since Jun 2004
143616 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 2:56 pm to
damn, you're dumb.
Posted by harry coleman beast
Left Field
Member since Aug 2008
52210 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 2:56 pm to
Home field worth 3. Auburn refs worth 10.
Posted by JonTheTigerFan
Central, LA
Member since Nov 2003
6792 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 2:57 pm to
We are favored by almost 3 TD's on the road against an SEC team who won the BCS Championship 2 years ago. It will be ok, man.
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
43275 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 2:58 pm to
I'll take an 18 point win right now.
Posted by Polar Bear
Member since Oct 2009
1800 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 2:58 pm to
Only 18.5? When was the last time we breezed through a road game in the SEC at night?

All of our fans are predicting a blowout, but I think the verdict is still out on this team. I think the game will be closer than most think.

They have absolutely nothing to lose and will have a chip on their shoulder with something to prove, especially after last year. And a night game in Jordan-Hare in front of 85,000+ will be a hostile environment, and will be intimidating for many of our first year starters.
Posted by gjackx
Red Stick
Member since Jan 2007
16527 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 2:59 pm to
That's a lot of points for a conference opponent on the road. We've only played in Tiger Stadium so far, keep that in mind.

The guys that set these lines know what they are doing.
Posted by LMB46
Providence, RI
Member since Oct 2011
144 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:01 pm to
JHS has been a house of horrors for us. Hell the only time we've beaten them there in the Saban-Miles era was the Jarrett Lee game in '08.
Posted by willhigg6
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2010
1039 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:02 pm to
They all disagree with you, but I think it is a little light also. They barely made it out against ULM at home. That would've put them at 0-3. It's not perfect science to compare them against Arky, which just barely lost to ULM 2 weeks ago, but it's pretty close. Bama is for all intents and purposes on a level playing field with LSU, and they went into fayetteville only to come out 52-0. I don't expect that kind of handling in auburn, but 21 points seems a little light.

All that to say, it really doesn't matter in the grand scheme of things as long as we win
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84384 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:06 pm to
We're on the road and historically don't blow them out away from home.

If it's free money, you may as well get some.
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:08 pm to
Chill out dude, we are an 18 point favorite on the road in the SEC. That's a pretty high sign of respect I think.
Posted by BhamTigah
Lurker since Jan 2003
Member since Jan 2007
14239 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

How are we only 18.5 favorites against Auburn?


If you think it is low, place a bet. If you don't like to bet, no need to look at spreads. Spreads aren't set at where the experts think the score will be, they are set to keep the money fairly even on both sides.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126993 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:10 pm to
SEC refs will call the game....
Posted by redfieldk717
Alec Box
Member since Oct 2011
28117 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

How are we only 18.5 favorites against Auburn? Auburn is atleast the 4th to 6th worst team in the West. If we are only favored by 3 possessions to them I hate to see what the spread will be when we play Florida, South Carolina, Mississippi State, Alabama, and Arkansas.


heres how they work on lsu, vegas sets the line based on the general public's perception (sec game on the road, hostile environment blah blah)...that being said they set it at 18.5, then it will move to 21 by the end of the week because people think "surely lsu will cover that" and throw down mucho cheds. the betting public sees it move 3 points in favor of lsu, so they bet on auburn to cover because in their minds its a free 3 points. this insures that the money is even on either side and vegas wins no matter what
Posted by alajones
Huntsvegas
Member since Oct 2005
34524 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:27 pm to
Vegas hates LSU. It's a conspiracy.
Posted by Dignan
Member since Sep 2005
13265 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:35 pm to
If something looks like a sucker bet, it USUALLY is. The football pool I'm in selects 10 games a week and this will probably be one of them. If so, I'll be counterintuitive in picking Auburn, but will place the minimum bet.

And if LSU covers, I'll lose, but still be stoked.

Win-Win.
Posted by Hugo Stiglitz
Member since Oct 2010
72937 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:36 pm to
This thread just caused the spread to move two points.

Thanks a lot jackass!
Posted by Bombblonde
Member since May 2012
666 posts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:52 pm to
The spread will move
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