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re: OFFICIAL Week 4 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:07 pm to
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
56523 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:07 pm to
Will wait and take under tonight. BYU has a solid defense and will control the ball, I say 23-17 Boise.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:20 pm to
Haven't seen it posted here but I like KState +14 @ OU.

Also, Miami/GT under 62.



Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47155 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

UGA Vandy U53
San Diego San Diego St U56.5
Louisville FIU U57
Ole Miss Tulane U58.5
Syracuse Minny U57
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16835 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:23 pm to
fricking lines have already moved!
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47155 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

fricking lines have already moved


The move within minutes of the release.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80804 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:31 pm to
RAS moves lines 1.5-3 points 5 minutes after he texts out his plays. By the time the public gets them ~15-30minutes later, you have no chance. That is why I don't pay attention to RAS plays anymore because by the time I get them, the value is gone
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

fricking lines have already moved!

U/GT under 62 hasn't moved. C'mon I'm just as good as RAS
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47155 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

That is why I don't pay attention to RAS plays anymore because by the time I get them, the value is gone


..and his totals were 2-3 last weekend, even at the lines he released.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

..and his totals were 2-3 last weekend, even at the lines he released.

His totals are 10-5 on the season, I wouldn't over-react to a "bad" week.

I really like his totals and he typically does a better job with those than spreads.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47155 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

I wouldn't over-react to a "bad" week.


The Michigan/UMASS game (RAS released the under) was Over the total a halftime.
This post was edited on 9/20/12 at 2:47 pm
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:50 pm to
shite happens. I mean SMS has made some God-awful picks but some people still swear by him.

Miami +7, lose by 40 was my favorite
Posted by skullhawk
My house
Member since Nov 2007
23199 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:55 pm to
quote:


..and his totals were 2-3 last weekend, even at the lines he released.


and hit one by .5 if I'm not mistaken.
Posted by skullhawk
My house
Member since Nov 2007
23199 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

I mean SMS has made some God-awful picks but some people still swear by him.


His CFB plays have been off for sure. Seems to be doing well on his other plays though.
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 3:03 pm to
Yeah, I might tail SMS baseball and RAS totals in the future, along with 3-5 of my own CFB picks per week.

That might be the future method if LSU covers and I have 91% more money to play with


ETA: and fade dcrews hard
This post was edited on 9/20/12 at 3:04 pm
Posted by innorthtex
Member since Sep 2012
27 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 3:17 pm to
NCst was a -16 favorite? They fell to a -12 pt favorite on 5 dimes haha
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
56523 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 3:22 pm to
Probably some value in Fading him after hs picks move lines, wonder what the stats are on that?
Posted by bctiger6
NOLA
Member since Jul 2007
1355 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 3:29 pm to
If you just fade his picks after the line moves say a couple points then you're basically trying to play the "middle" if you value his picks and think he's right. I don't think that would be a profitable move
Posted by DFWAggie09
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
1484 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 3:33 pm to
Question for the people on KSU this weekend. Is it the +14 that is just too much to pass up? Oklahoma absolutely destroyed KSU last year in Manhattan and that wasn't even a very good OU team by their standards. I think they know how to shut down Klein and that offense better than anyone else and OU is so good at home under Stoops. I really hope KSU wins the game straight up but could see OU winning something like 38-14. Oklahoma is just a straight up different team in Norman and always have been.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46122 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 3:35 pm to
Landry jones is awesome at home


Blows huge penis on the road
Posted by WRedmondsStang
Member since Sep 2012
460 posts
Posted on 9/20/12 at 3:36 pm to
I can get RAS totals bet before the bookie updates their lines most of the time. I bet with a local bookie here in MS, in a town where sports betting is basically legal. 6 "Sports Bars" within 5 blocks of City Hall and Police station-HaHa. You can walk in any of these as a total stranger, pick up a sheet a write a ticket.
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