Official TS Debby Thread - Page 3 - TigerDroppings.com

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baytiger
LSU Fan
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
43364 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


quote:

quote:


Looking like this will be Debbie tomorrow




WILL NOT HAPPEN. I am tryin to tell ya'll. But whatever.
tomorrow might be early to call it Debbie.. but it has looked pretty impressive on satellite imagery this evening






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Zilla
LSU Fan
Friendswood, TX
Member since Jul 2005
9937 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


I just moved to Friendswood... are there ever any td irl gatherings ?





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BarDTiger81
LSU Fan
nurfeast lowsyana
Member since Jul 2011
15639 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


quote:

rom what I saw they aren't sure. Depends if a front picks it up and takes it northeast. If not it will linger a bit.



I hope it lingers till I am out of the gulf






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im4LSU
LSU Fan
Lafayette, LA
Member since Aug 2004
14810 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


quote:

I hope it lingers till I am out of the gulf


you on a platform?






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BarDTiger81
LSU Fan
nurfeast lowsyana
Member since Jul 2011
15639 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


quote:

you on a platform?

Yes






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228Tiger
LSU Fan
Harrison County
Member since Feb 2012
12112 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


What's the latest? Will it garner tropical storm strength by the weekend?





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baytiger
LSU Fan
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
43364 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


quote:

Will it garner tropical storm strength by the weekend?
maybe over the weekend but I don't think it will before then... especially if it drifts northward as it tries to strengthen, lots of shear in the northern gulf right now






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Martini
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2005
27951 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


I don't do anything until Rummy calls it.





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colorchangintiger
LSU Fan
Thomas Sowell
Member since Nov 2005
21858 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


quote:

GO TO AUSTIN! AUSTIN! AUSTIN! AUSTIN!


OTGT at Lavaca tomorrow night






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rds dc
Nebraska Fan
Member since Jun 2008
6246 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


quote:

tomorrow might be early to call it Debbie.. but it has looked pretty impressive on satellite imagery this evening


Yeah, it looks pretty good but according to CIMSS it isn't really stacked. The best 500 vort is under the convection and has some really nice venting above it. However, the best low level vort is set off to the NW and is under some shear. These types of systems tend to be slow to form and often give the appearance of getting going only to later be flagged for a false start.

But the trend this season has been over performance and why start betting against the trend now It looks like the EURO might have the best handle on things as of right now. I would like to see it hold at 00Z but we will probably see plenty of model flopping.

One final caveat, the GFS just had a DA upgrade and the experimental GFS running with this DA performed pretty well last season. So I don't think we can just dismiss the GFS as easily as seasons past.






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When in Rome
USA Fan
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
25965 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


Time to dust off the ole




gif








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baytiger
LSU Fan
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
43364 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


quote:

It looks like the EURO might have the best handle on things as of right now.
quote:

the GFS just had a DA upgrade and the experimental GFS running with this DA performed pretty well last season. So I don't think we can just dismiss the GFS as easily as seasons past.


ironically, they're each taking it in opposite directions (but very slowly)






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rds dc
Nebraska Fan
Member since Jun 2008
6246 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


quote:

ironically, they're each taking it in opposite directions (but very slowly)


Looking at the 500 vort, 12z Euro vs 18z GFS, they are somewhat similar through 48/54 hrs but the Euro is digging the system out west a bit more and pumping up the ridge a bit more. There are a lot of moving parts to this one, maybe even more so than normal. I'm thinking 40% Texas, 40% Florida, 20% in between and the further west it gets the better chance it has at gaining some strength. Looking at the SOI can sometimes give some hints at ridge strength and placement but I'm too tired to mess with that tonight.






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VernonPLSUfan
LSU Fan
Leesville, La.
Member since Sep 2007
8152 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


Say huh?





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GeorgeTheGreek
Michigan State Fan
Sparta, Greece
Member since Mar 2008
36225 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


Man, you're trying really hard to impress some people in here.

No offense dude, but no one gives a shite.






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Athanatos
Vanderbilt Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
6457 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


You shut your whore mouth. When Gustav part deux hits, you will thank your lucky stars he was here to tell you to tuck your head between your knees.





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fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
21902 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


quote:

No offense dude, but no one gives a shite.


That might be strong, but no one gives that much of a shite.

Just tell me when to start driving nails into my vinyl siding to protect my windows with plywood.






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GeorgeTheGreek
Michigan State Fan
Sparta, Greece
Member since Mar 2008
36225 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


As soon as I decipher what an inverted vort 500 index ridge is i'll tuck my tail.





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VernonPLSUfan
LSU Fan
Leesville, La.
Member since Sep 2007
8152 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


I've got some kind of vort in my silverado. Can you milk me fokker.





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LSURoss
USA Fan
Shreveport, LA
Member since Dec 2007
11005 posts

re: Official TS Debby Thread


If this does take the blue route (from the 2am model)into LA. What day we talkin? Monday, Tuesday?


This post was edited on 6/22 at 6:18 am


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