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Anodyne 
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2011
2127 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 2:45 pm to PRK)
quote:
As I've said before, he isn't liberal enough for me. Guantanamo remaining open is a gross violation of a campaign promise. His stance towards marijuana isn't as proactive as it should be. That's just the start. As I've also said before, I sincerely hope he institutes a much more progressive agenda in his second term.
What are your thoughts on his campaign lies about Bush tax cuts and repealing the Patriot Act?
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Choctaw 
Navy Fan
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
39918 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 2:51 pm to Anodyne)
quote:
I think the media and the polling data may lead many to believe that it is a lost cause.
im not sure what polling data you're looking at but all the credible ones have it as a virtual dead heat
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Choctaw
Navy Fan
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
39918 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 2:52 pm to PRK)
quote:
Long list of accomplishments during an undeniably effective first term.
 man...you guys are just ate up with the Obama worship
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PRK
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2009
7973 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 2:53 pm to Anodyne)
quote:
What are your thoughts on his campaign lies about Bush tax cuts and repealing the Patriot Act?
The former was the victim of political expediency, the latter is inexcusable.
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Bestbank Tiger 
Tulane Fan
Landmass Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2005
15788 posts
 Online
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 2:59 pm to PRK)
quote:
Long list of accomplishments during an undeniably effective first term
Strange definition of effective. Also a strange definition of accomplishments.
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Holden Caulfield
LSU Fan
Hanging with J.D.
Member since May 2008
4358 posts
Online
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 3:01 pm to PRK)
quote:
Long list of accomplishments
Got to wonder why obama isn't running on any of these alledged accomplishments.
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Anodyne
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2011
2127 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 3:05 pm to Holden Caulfield)
quote:
Got to wonder why obama isn't running on any of these alledged accomplishments
Good point. When he has to resort to a ficticious number of jobs created and "saving the US auto industry" as his "accomplishments" then you have to wonder how effective he has been.
Now, I will agree if by effective the poster means increasing the size and scope of the government and government dependency, thereby securing democrat voting bases for generations, I will agree wholeheartedly. I suppose it is all about perspective.
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benhamin5555
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2009
1599 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 3:12 pm to PRK)
quote:
As I've said before, he isn't liberal enough for me. Guantanamo remaining open is a gross violation of a campaign promise. His stance towards marijuana isn't as proactive as it should be. That's just the start. As I've also said before, I sincerely hope he institutes a much more progressive agenda in his second term.
I would also like to see Obama come out more in favor of personal liberty. I'd like to see him get rid of the Patriot Act, be more friendly towards marijuana, close Guantanamo, and come out more strongly in favor of marriage equality.
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Bestbank Tiger
Tulane Fan
Landmass Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2005
15788 posts
Online
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 3:47 pm to benhamin5555)
quote:
I would also like to see Obama come out more in favor of personal liberty
Me too.
But I'd also like to spend a few nights with Katy Perry and I have a much better chance of that happening.
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Interception
Providence Fan
Member since Nov 2008
8701 posts
Online
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 4:25 pm to benhamin5555)
70%-80% Obama wins
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Navytiger74
LSU Fan
Manama, Bahrain
Member since Oct 2009
10511 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 4:30 pm to Interception)
Upgraded from 60% to 80%. Romney hasn't held a lead in a composite of reputable national polls since he became the presumptive nominee. He's farther behind in swings.
And, just to put this out there, he seems to be running a shitty campaign.
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90proofprofessional
LSU Fan
Member since Mar 2004
6149 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 4:33 pm to Navytiger74)
quote:
Navytiger74
was wondering where you'd been lately
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Choctaw
Navy Fan
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
39918 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 4:36 pm to Navytiger74)
quote:
Romney hasn't held a lead in a composite of reputable national polls since he became the presumptive nominee.
its a virtual tie with an incumbent polling under 50%...not good for team Obama
quote:
He's farther behind in swings.
He's leading in CO and FL
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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
63238 posts
Online
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 4:36 pm to PRK)
quote:
Romney is a horrible candidate.
And Obama is a horrible President.
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Navytiger74
LSU Fan
Manama, Bahrain
Member since Oct 2009
10511 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 4:39 pm to 90proofprofessional)
quote:
was wondering where you'd been lately
We've had some shite going on here for the past week or so. This is my first non 14-hour day since last Monday. I was due, I guess.
I appreciate your concern, though. 
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90proofprofessional
LSU Fan
Member since Mar 2004
6149 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 4:44 pm to Navytiger74)
quote:
We've had some shite going on here for the past week or so. This is my first non 14-hour day since last Monday. I was due, I guess.
yeah i can imagine it must suck
you do some sort of watchfloor shit, i assumed from your location and name.
therefore your opinion on things going on there is probably worth listening to as you're probably eating, drinking, breathing it
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Bestbank Tiger
Tulane Fan
Landmass Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2005
15788 posts
Online
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 4:45 pm to LSURussian)
quote:
And Obama is a horrible President.
Agree. But this really feels like 2004. Crappy President who has no respect for civil liberties, spends money we don't have, and creates massive entitlement programs. Challenger is a rich flip-flopper from Massachusetts who isn't likable.
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Navytiger74
LSU Fan
Manama, Bahrain
Member since Oct 2009
10511 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 4:46 pm to 90proofprofessional)
quote:
therefore your opinion on things going on there is probably worth listening to as you're probably eating, drinking, breathing it
Which is why I won't comment. I was stationed at AFRICOM during Odyssey Dawn and probably ran my mouth more than I should have (no secrets, but too much opinion).
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90proofprofessional
LSU Fan
Member since Mar 2004
6149 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 9/18/12 at 4:54 pm to Navytiger74)
quote:
Which is why I won't comment. I was stationed at AFRICOM during Odyssey Dawn and probably ran my mouth more than I should have (no secrets, but too much opinion)
I was at OPNAV and banned for the Gulf Oil Spill, and wanted to comment on that temporary board so bad
was way too busy during Odyssey Dawn and whatever the Japan evac/relief mission's name was to say anything dumb
eta: /hijack, sorry
This post was edited on 9/18 at 4:56 pm
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Anodyne
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2011
2127 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 10/22/12 at 8:11 am to 90proofprofessional)
Update Time: October 22, 2012...
Since the last set of predictions, three debates have taken place, 2 presidential, 1 VP...Romney decisively won the first debate and held his own in the second, seemingly turning the momentum.
I am not overly confident that things have changed as drastically as it currently appears, but I think one would be foolish to believe that Romney's chances at winning are not at an all-time high right now.
I still think that Obama likely wins Ohio and I think Florida will be really close as well.
However, I am bumping his chances, IMO, of winning way down to about 55% right now...slightly better than a toss up based on Ohio (I realize some polls have Obama trailing in OH...I'll believe it when I see it).
What percentage chances are you placing on the race now and how has it changed over the course of the year in this thread?
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