| Posted by | Message |
CamdenTiger
Member since Aug 2009
22713 posts
 Online
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 4:55 pm to Anodyne)
I can't imagine Obama winning. I'm around alot of Dems, and I can tell you, its not looking good for him.
|
| Back to top | |
Jamie Howard 
LSU Fan
BR
Member since Jun 2007
596 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 4:56 pm to CamdenTiger)
quote:
I can't imagine Obama winning. I'm around alot of Dems, and I can tell you, its not looking good for him.
You're around a lot of Dems that are going to vote for someone in the current Republican field? I find that hard to believe.
|
| Back to top | |
Martavius 
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Nov 2005
16019 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 5:03 pm to Jamie Howard)
There are a lot of people n this thread that underestimate the stupidity of the American electorate.
Obama is guaranteed probably 48% of the popular and electoral votes regardless of how stupid he is and how bad things are come November.
I'd give him probably a 80% shot at getting enough of the rest of the votes for a second term.
|
| Back to top | |
Drew Orleans
LSU Fan
Member since Mar 2010
13560 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 5:06 pm to Anodyne)
If Obama wins I will lose all faith in humanity as a whole. This is not a Democrat/Republican thing nor is it a black/white thing. This is a dumbass/intelligent thing.
|
| Back to top | |
ZereauxSum
LSU Fan
Atlanta, GA
Member since Nov 2008
5750 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 5:28 pm to a want)
quote:
If the economy continues to make even modest improvement: Obama wins. Period.
This is the only variable that matters. If "he can get" the published unemployment rate down anywhere close to 8% flat he wont be beat.
If it meanders around 8.6 for the next 10 months then he better pack his bags.
I give him a 57% chance as of now.
This post was edited on 12/13 at 5:29 pm
|
| Back to top | |
darryljames30
LSU Fan
Marcus Thornton/Freddy Adu fan
Member since Feb 2006
10076 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 5:37 pm to Anodyne)
80%
|
| Back to top | |
LSUgusto
LSU Fan
Member since May 2005
15575 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 5:37 pm to Anodyne)
60-40
|
| Back to top | |
L.A.
New Orleans Saints Fan
Los Angeles
Member since Aug 2003
34691 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 5:40 pm to Anodyne)
I don't see anybody among the Republican candidates who I think has a chance of beating Obama.
|
| Back to top | |
Bestbank Tiger 
Tulane Fan
Landmass Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2005
15762 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 7:09 pm to L.A.)
50/50.
The economy sucks and Ogump deserves to lose, but the Republicans are very good at stepping on their dicks and there are still a lot of delusional Kool-Aid drinkers who don't see what a disaster this administration is 
|
| Back to top | |
ottothewise
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2008
32094 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 7:22 pm to DA)
I will wait and decide after the Occupy is resolved.
Currently Occupy is closing western ports, in solidarity with truckers who want to unionize two companies, one in Oakland and the other in Los Angeles.
Does the Obama Justice department avail of the Patriot act and treat them all as terrorists whilst the Russians are allowing 25,000 people to march in Moscow?
We shall see. Obama cannot allow the ports to remain shut.
he is screwed if they remain shut and he is screwed if he pisses off the Occupy crowd. Good luck with that shite.
|
| Back to top | |
cssamerican
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Mar 2011
1769 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 9:37 pm to Martavius)
quote:
There are a lot of people n this thread that underestimate the stupidity of the American electorate.
quote:
If Obama wins I will lose all faith in humanity as a whole. This is not a Democrat/Republican thing nor is it a black/white thing. This is a dumbass/intelligent thing.
Read my sig 
I say 60% chance Obama gets reelected.
|
| Back to top | |
RogerTheShrubber
LSU Fan
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
71911 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 9:42 pm to Anodyne)
80%
He has a built in voting base that doesn't give a shite about the economy, wars or any other issue. There is nothing he can do to screw it up.
|
| Back to top | |
Scruffy 
USA Fan
Team Hugo Stiglitz 4 Life
Member since Jul 2011
17664 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 9:43 pm to Anodyne)
It all depends on the Republican candidate. With Gingrich or Romney, I'd say he pretty much has it locked up, 85%. With Paul, I'd lean more towards 50%. That is my support of RP shining through though.
Overall, Obama has a very good chance of being reelected. Currently, that is due to the terrible candidates that the media is rotating through w/ the Republican party. Perry, Bachmann, Romney, Gingrich, none of them will win, imo.
This post was edited on 12/13 at 9:44 pm
|
| Back to top | |
CITWTT
LSU Fan
baton rouge
Member since Sep 2005
25174 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 9:48 pm to Anodyne)
What you should ask is what % that the Dems steal an election.
|
| Back to top | |
bigasstiger
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2006
1093 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 11:06 pm to Anodyne)
50-50
Eenie Meenie Miney Mo
Catch a ....
|
| Back to top | |
Interception
Providence Fan
Member since Nov 2008
8607 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 11:21 pm to bigasstiger)
Intrade
51.9% 
|
| Back to top | |
ottothewise
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2008
32094 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 11:29 pm to Drew Orleans)
quote:
This is a dumbass/intelligent thing
when Perry was the leading GOP candidate, did you still think that?
He still has $13 million to spend. How about a guess on how many delegates he wins.
|
| Back to top | |
Jim Rockford
LSU Fan
Member since May 2011
23239 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 11:34 pm to Anodyne)
50% if he's running against Romney. Anybody else and the odds approach 100%.
|
| Back to top | |
Gmorgan4982
LSU Fan
Hattiesburg, Miss.
Member since May 2005
89902 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/13/11 at 11:35 pm to Anodyne)
99
|
| Back to top | |
ottothewise
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2008
32094 posts
| re: Percent Chance Obama Wins in 2012 (Updated 11/5/12) (Posted on 12/14/11 at 12:04 am to Gmorgan4982)
LINK
Newt > Romney among R's.
Romney > Newt in the general, vs Obama.
INDs must like Romney better than Newt.
|
| Back to top | |
