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Comparative Stats: LSU & Arky
Posted on 11/21/11 at 9:49 am
Posted on 11/21/11 at 9:49 am
Points For:
LSU 38
Arky 39
Points Against:
LSU 10
Arky 21
When compared to what their respective opponents average (which goes to strength of schedule):
Offense:
LSU +13
Arky +11
Defense:
LSU +16
Arky +3
These comparisons mean that LSU scores 13 pts above what their opponents give up and holds their opponents 16 pts below theirs.
LSU 38
Arky 39
Points Against:
LSU 10
Arky 21
When compared to what their respective opponents average (which goes to strength of schedule):
Offense:
LSU +13
Arky +11
Defense:
LSU +16
Arky +3
These comparisons mean that LSU scores 13 pts above what their opponents give up and holds their opponents 16 pts below theirs.
4
Posted on 11/21/11 at 9:50 am to MarkDShark
Posted on 11/21/11 at 10:01 am to MarkDShark
SEC Games:
LSU O = 34.1 pt/gm
Arky O = 35.5 pt/gm
Overall wash.
LSU D = 7.1 pt/gm
Arky D = 22.3 pt/gm
3:1 advantage for LSU
Common opponents: Bama, AU, OM, TN & MS St
LSU O = 163 points, 32.6 / game
Arky O = 174 points, 34.8 / game
Again - wash
LSU D = 26 points, 5.2/game
Arky D = 100 points, 20.0/game
Advantage LSU 4:1 ratio
This game, to me, is the classic cliche of 'Defense wins Championships'. If the averages hold true the game would end up ~ 21-6/7. The spread is 13.5. Seems about right to me.
LSU O = 34.1 pt/gm
Arky O = 35.5 pt/gm
Overall wash.
LSU D = 7.1 pt/gm
Arky D = 22.3 pt/gm
3:1 advantage for LSU
Common opponents: Bama, AU, OM, TN & MS St
LSU O = 163 points, 32.6 / game
Arky O = 174 points, 34.8 / game
Again - wash
LSU D = 26 points, 5.2/game
Arky D = 100 points, 20.0/game
Advantage LSU 4:1 ratio
This game, to me, is the classic cliche of 'Defense wins Championships'. If the averages hold true the game would end up ~ 21-6/7. The spread is 13.5. Seems about right to me.
Posted on 11/21/11 at 10:01 am to MarkDShark
So 34-23? That sounds about right.
Posted on 11/21/11 at 10:05 am to MarkDShark
Never seen that comparitive stat to what opponents usually average. Good stuff.
I'll add the turnover margins as well to consider:
LSU +18
Arkansas +1
Arkansas better bring their best game of the year or this is a comfortable game for the Tigers.
I'll add the turnover margins as well to consider:
LSU +18
Arkansas +1
Arkansas better bring their best game of the year or this is a comfortable game for the Tigers.
This post was edited on 11/21/11 at 10:06 am
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