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re: Official BCS Discussion Thread -UPDATED
Posted on 11/16/11 at 7:46 am to lsumatt
Posted on 11/16/11 at 7:46 am to lsumatt
quote:
See, I don't have a problem with being told I am wrong. But what exactly do you think the human polls look like after this late season loss? When the voters fill in their sheets, at WORST they look something like:
1. OSU
2. Oregon
3. LSU
4. Bama
5. Stanford/ACC Champ.
What could MAYBE happen is if OU beat OSU and somehow Oregon finished #1 with OU a close #2, and LSU a distant #3
Assuming one spot goes to OU or OSU, if we lose to Ole Miss, I can honestly see a lot of #1 votes going to Oregon as a PAC-12 champion with only one quality loss (to us) during the first game in the season.
If we lose to Arkansas in anything but a squeaker, we'll probably drop to third place in the three way tie, placing Bama in the SEC championship and putting them in position to go all the way.
If we lose to Georgia, I honestly don't know what would happen. I don't think the BCS voters want another abortion like Oklahoma playing for the title after losing the Big 12 in 03.
All speculative, of course, and you have a lot more experience with this than I do.
2
Posted on 11/16/11 at 7:50 am to Navytiger74
quote:do you know how the tie breakers work?
If we lose to Arkansas in anything but a squeaker, we'll probably drop to third place in the three way tie, placing Bama in the SEC championship and putting them in position to go all the way.
quote:If we lose to Ole Miss and beat Arky, we go to the SECCG with a chance to tack on another win against probably UGA. That would leave us 12-1 and SEC champs. We're not getting left out of the NC game, I can promise you that
if we lose to Ole Miss, I can honestly see a lot of #1 votes going to Oregon as a PAC-12 champion with only one quality loss (to us) during the first game in the season.
Posted on 11/16/11 at 7:52 am to Navytiger74
quote:
Assuming one spot goes to OU or OSU, if we lose to Ole Miss, I can honestly see a lot of #1 votes going to Oregon as a PAC-12 champion with only one quality loss (to us) during the first game in the season.
Which would be fine. 75-80% of voters (or more) can forget we beat the crap out of them and we still get in by virtue of computers.
quote:
If we lose to Arkansas in anything but a squeaker, we'll probably drop to third place in the three way tie,
Based on what math? LSU would clearly be the best of the 3 on the computers. Arky wouldn't only be the worst, but teams like Oregon might have a better computer score - further squeezing out Arky
quote:
I don't think the BCS voters want another abortion like Oklahoma playing for the title after losing the Big 12 in 03.
That's the thing. The voters don't get that sort of choice. The computers matter. And as much as people don't want to believe it, they have a history of dropping teams only as far as it is ethically fair to do so.
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