is bama homefield really that strong vs lsu?

LSU's record in Tuscalousa speaks for itself. I do not think the crowd will be a factor in the game.

The referees on the other hand....

Enormous game, they'll be loud as he'll.
Scoring early will take them out of it though, for a stretch at least

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since 2000 lsu 4-1 vs bama in tuscalousa

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I am skeptical of these kinds of runs when the last game is the one that goes in the other direction. Once a streak is broken, like our streak of 4 in a row at BDS was in 2009, dominance has to be re-established before the now-broken streak can be used convincingly as part of a run (I'm using "run" to refer to a span of dominance that isn't quite an undefeated streak, like winning 4 out of 5, 7 out of 9, etc.).

So, saying we've won four of the last five isn't all that valid now, but if we win on Nov. 5th to re-establish the dominance, saying we've won five of the last six will be more valid.