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Message
So why don't they open Morganza already?!
Posted on 5/12/11 at 7:38 pm
Posted on 5/12/11 at 7:38 pm
Just as the title says...
9
Posted on 5/12/11 at 7:39 pm to cpeter9
Posted on 5/12/11 at 7:43 pm to cpeter9
PROTOCOL...do you know what it is??
Posted on 5/12/11 at 7:54 pm to cpeter9
Because there is no reason to yet, and reasons not to....
Posted on 5/12/11 at 7:56 pm to cpeter9
Will be done fri or sat
Posted on 5/12/11 at 8:08 pm to cpeter9
Because Maj.Gen. Michael Walsh has balls the size of grapefruits. He makes Les Miles jealous. National Weather Service projections are fallible and he knows it. Walsh is not going to intentionally flood anyone until it is absolutely necessary and he will wait until the latest possible moment to do it.
Posted on 5/12/11 at 9:58 pm to cpeter9
THe correct answer is that the protocol is to consider opening once the flow reaches 1.5 mil cfs.
Posted on 5/13/11 at 9:46 am to cpeter9
New to this forum and have found it more informative than local/national news outlets. Seems to have a higher ratio of Fact:Garbage than other sources of info ?
Do any of the more knowledgeable members here believe that the crest pulse flowing down the river might be spreading (with respect to time) and being reduced in amplitude as small amounts of the flow are stored in the low lying flood zones? Will this possibly allow the ORCS to handle excess and keep BR on NO below the trigger point without opening the Morganza?
Looking at the graphs for Red River Landing and downstream (ignore Natchez and northward) is seems that projections don’t look as bad as a few days ago. Stressing levees between RRL and Reserve (Bonnet Carre seems to be working south of that) may be a risk but if the COE believes the mainline levees will hold is it possible that the AR will be able to keep up with most basin flow staying within the AR levees?
I think holding off opening the Morganza to not intentionally flood the upper basin (outside the AR levees) any deeper than absolutely necessary may be the gamble the COE is playing by delaying Morganza, possibly reducing the final numbers of gates opened if absolutely necessary.
Do any of the more knowledgeable members here believe that the crest pulse flowing down the river might be spreading (with respect to time) and being reduced in amplitude as small amounts of the flow are stored in the low lying flood zones? Will this possibly allow the ORCS to handle excess and keep BR on NO below the trigger point without opening the Morganza?
Looking at the graphs for Red River Landing and downstream (ignore Natchez and northward) is seems that projections don’t look as bad as a few days ago. Stressing levees between RRL and Reserve (Bonnet Carre seems to be working south of that) may be a risk but if the COE believes the mainline levees will hold is it possible that the AR will be able to keep up with most basin flow staying within the AR levees?
I think holding off opening the Morganza to not intentionally flood the upper basin (outside the AR levees) any deeper than absolutely necessary may be the gamble the COE is playing by delaying Morganza, possibly reducing the final numbers of gates opened if absolutely necessary.
Posted on 5/13/11 at 10:11 am to cpeter9
Don't kill the messenger here. I heard this today, but I have no idea how true it is.
I heard one of the reasons they are waiting until Saturday is so they can get a barge or two down by Morgan City to use it/them as a dam. Like I said, just passing on info I've heard.
I heard one of the reasons they are waiting until Saturday is so they can get a barge or two down by Morgan City to use it/them as a dam. Like I said, just passing on info I've heard.
Posted on 5/13/11 at 11:16 am to cpeter9
quote:
So why don't they open Morganza already?!
Opening it now with accomplish nothing but adding extra water to the AR area. The current level of the river is not a high risk threat untill we reach 1.5CFS at RRL.
Think of the river right now as a large "slug" of high volume water moving down the river. Until that "slug" of water gets here there is no reason to open up the diversion ways until its time to drain off part of the "slug"
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