re: Playoff Probability & Scenarios, Tie Breaker Rules, & Schedules

posting the links to stay on the current page-

playoff probabilities other good stuff at that site too

playoff scenario generator you can pick the games individually to see the results too

TO BREAK A TIE FOR THE WILD-CARD TEAM

If it is necessary to break ties to determine the two Wild-Card clubs from each conference, the following steps will be taken.

1. If the tied clubs are from the same division, apply division tie breaker.
2. If the tied clubs are from different divisions, apply the following steps.

Two Clubs

1. Head-to-head, if applicable.
2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
4. Strength of victory.
5. Strength of schedule.
6. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
7. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
8. Best net points in conference games.
9. Best net points in all games.
10. Best net touchdowns in all games.
11. Coin toss.

Three or More Clubs

(Note: If two clubs remain tied after third or other clubs are eliminated, tie breaker reverts to step 1 of applicable two-club format.)

1. Apply division tie breaker to eliminate all but the highest ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. The original seeding within a division upon application of the division tie breaker remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that are necessary to identify the two Wild-Card participants.
2. Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.)
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
5. Strength of victory.
6. Strength of schedule.
7. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
8. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
9. Best net points in conference games.
10. Best net points in all games.
11. Best net touchdowns in all games.
12. Coin toss

When the first Wild-Card team has been identified, the procedure is repeated to name the second Wild-Card, i.e., eliminate all but the highest-ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. In situations where three or more teams from the same division are involved in the procedure, the original seeding of the teams remains the same for subsequent applications of the tie breaker if the top-ranked team in that division qualifies for a Wild-Card berth.

some on it HERE too

NFC Playoffs are setting up as a "Dome Bracket" (NO at STL, winner at ATL) vs. an "Outdoor Bracket" (NYG at PHI, winner (if PHI) at CHI). If the current matchups hold and PHI beats NYG, the Saints would only have to play one outdoor game (NFC Championship)!

I'd love to see us have to go to Chicago again and beat those punks at home.

wildcard tiebreaker above

the links update themselves, I transfered the links over to the current page too

with hasselbeck out, i dont want a must win next week

***SAINTS PLAYOFF SCENARIOS FOR DUMMIES***




1. Saints WIN one of their 2 remaining games: Saints clinch 5th seed

2. Saints WIN both of their 2 remaining games:
a. Falcons beat Panthers = Saints clinch 5th seed
b. Falcons lose to Panthers = Saints clinch 1st seed

3. Saints LOSE both of their 2 remaining games: Green Bay MUST lose to Chicago and New York MUST lose to Washington for Saints to clinch 6th seed

Crazy that with less than a week left in the regular season, Saints are anywhere from the #1 overall seed to out of the playoffs. And I wouldn't be all that surprised to see either one happen.


P.S. Go Chiefs!