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re: Let's Find Out How Smart You Baws Are
Posted on 3/23/24 at 1:08 pm to Nutriaitch
Posted on 3/23/24 at 1:08 pm to Nutriaitch
quote:
both remaining shells have the exact same 2/3 probability of being wrong.
At the beginning of the game, yes you have a 2/3 chance of picking wrong. Once the dealer reveals an empty shell and you switch your choice, it becomes an entirely new event with new probabilities.
quote:
there will ALWAYS be (at least) one shell remaining that is wrong. the remaining one is not necessarily always right.
If you choose a wrong shell at the beginning, then you will always switch to the money shell. There’s no other possibility.
As you said, there’s a 2/3 chance of picking a wrong shell at first. This means there’s a 2/3 chance of getting the money if you switch.
Posted on 3/23/24 at 9:03 pm to LordSaintly
quote:
f you choose a wrong shell at the beginning, then you will always switch to the money shell. There’s no other possibility.
and if you choose the right shell at the beginning, you will always switch to the losing shell.
quote:
As you said, there’s a 2/3 chance of picking a wrong shell at first. This means there’s a 2/3 chance of getting the money if you switch.
there is also a 2/3 chance the one on the table is wrong.
EXACTLY like the one in your hand
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