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Message
re: Preliminary Ratings: Lacombe Tornado - EF1; NOLA/Arabi Tornado - EF3
Posted on 3/16/22 at 10:29 am to Duke
Posted on 3/16/22 at 10:29 am to Duke
NAM getting spicy on the southshore early Friday morning. Should hopefully be in a linear mode by then.
You've got enough moisture to goose the mean layer CAPE into the 1500 range and its a "fat" CAPE in the hail growth region (hail potential). Dry air aloft brings the threat of strong winds and abundant low level shear suggest spin ups within the line too.
One model of course but that certainly got my attention.
3
Posted on 3/16/22 at 12:07 pm to Duke
quote:
You've got enough moisture to goose the mean layer CAPE into the 1500 range and its a "fat" CAPE in the hail growth region (hail potential). Dry air aloft brings the threat of strong winds and abundant low level shear suggest spin ups within the line too.
That's a recipe for the type hail that can surprise some folks who aren't used to seeing big hail.
Go ahead and clean those garages out, put the wife's Honda on the street, or at least put your truck nut covers on.
Posted on 3/16/22 at 12:09 pm to Duke
Every time you post a Tropical Tidbits sounding it throws me for a loop.
Posted on 3/16/22 at 12:19 pm to Duke
I've been in severe weather and hurricane threads for a while now and I still have no idea what I'm looking at with these hodographs
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