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re: Preliminary Ratings: Lacombe Tornado - EF1; NOLA/Arabi Tornado - EF3

Posted on 3/16/22 at 9:17 am to
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35684 posts
Posted on 3/16/22 at 9:17 am to
Apps are going to be using model output vs having a person make a forecast. Since the models arent showing widespread storms up your way, the apps arent going to show much.
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
56577 posts
Posted on 3/16/22 at 9:25 am to
Us Cenla folks just tune in to Nicks facebook and we get the best info, our local KALB weather is also really really good for our market size.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35684 posts
Posted on 3/16/22 at 10:29 am to


NAM getting spicy on the southshore early Friday morning. Should hopefully be in a linear mode by then.

You've got enough moisture to goose the mean layer CAPE into the 1500 range and its a "fat" CAPE in the hail growth region (hail potential). Dry air aloft brings the threat of strong winds and abundant low level shear suggest spin ups within the line too.

One model of course but that certainly got my attention.

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