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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 5/7/24 at 10:05 am to doubleb
Posted on 5/7/24 at 10:05 am to doubleb
I think there is a solid middle ground somewhere between "completely capitulate to a tyarnt" and "become more involved than we really should be in a conflict where the outcome won't impact our lives one iota".
But you for sure won't find it.
But you for sure won't find it.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 10:10 am to VolSquatch
quote:
I think there is a solid middle ground somewhere between "completely capitulate to a tyarnt" and "become more involved than we really should be in a conflict where the outcome won't impact our lives one iota".
We?
Weren’t we talking about French and Polish involvement?
Why are they so worried? Maybe they think their national security is at risk? What about the Finns and the Swedes? Maybe they are worried enough to not stay neutral?
And “we” do have a risk if NATO allies get attacked.
This post was edited on 5/7/24 at 10:14 am
Posted on 5/7/24 at 10:17 am to Lima Whiskey
quote:
The casualty rates are too high for Ukrainian forces to build competence. New units just get ground down and destroyed. So as a whole, the army becomes less capable and less effective over time.
quote:
?????? #?????? Our source at the General Staff said that at headquarters Syrsky asked Zelensky to actively use special police forces to stop the breakthrough in the Avdeevsky direction. The Ukrainian Armed Forces do not have enough reserves to hold the entire front line, and the military is increasingly abandoning positions.
True enough without the artillery shells that are now arriving. In the last week, though, the lines appear to be stabilizing.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 10:20 am to VolSquatch
quote:
The war against Russia, who can't even put away an opponent 4 weight classes down from them, is existential to multiple countries that Russia would never invade in the modern day?
Russia would also never invade Ukraine, until it did.
Also, a big part of the problem for Poland and other Eastern European nations is the impending accession of Belarus into Russia, which Putin and Lukashenko are gradually implementing. Prior to 2022, Belarus was viewed as a buffer state.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 11:10 am to GOP_Tiger
quote:
Russia would also never invade Ukraine, until it did.
Also, a big part of the problem for Poland and other Eastern European nations is the impending accession of Belarus into Russia, which Putin and Lukashenko are gradually implementing. Prior to 2022, Belarus was viewed as a buffer state.
Sure, but you have people in here selectively use this logic.
It wouldn't invade, but it did.
It wouldn't use nukes, until it does.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 11:15 am to VolSquatch
quote:
It wouldn't use nukes, until it does.
The redlines to use nukes have been crossed several times. Putin knows that Russia would be destroyed and we won't even need nukes to do so
Posted on 5/7/24 at 11:18 am to doubleb
quote:
We?
Weren’t we talking about French and Polish involvement?
"We" as in the collective west.
I know its a wild concept, but things our allies do impact us when we have a defense pact with them.
quote:
Why are they so worried? Maybe they think their national security is at risk? What about the Finns and the Swedes? Maybe they are worried enough to not stay neutral?
I would be "worried" and "concerned" too if it meant that big daddy Uncle Sam would promise to protect me, even if I'm asking for it by sending troops.
quote:
And “we” do have a risk if NATO allies get attacked.
..... which is exactly my point. If Russia decides ""we are basically fighting NATO anyway, might as well shoot a missle at X factory in Poland/France" there we go waltzing into WW3 like it wasn't easily predictable.
Its about walking the line between helping Ukraine as much as the collective "we" can while also not overplaying our hand unnecessarily and starting a preventable broader conflict.
Ukraine isn't worth the money its been given so far, much less a global war.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 11:19 am to CitizenK
quote:
The redlines to use nukes have been crossed several times.
quote:
It wouldn't use nukes, until it does.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 11:22 am to GOP_Tiger
"We must let Ukraine into NATO so that Russia won't invade, they would have never attacked a NATO country like that!"
"France and Poland must send troops to Ukraine, Russia is going to attack them next!"
"France and Poland must send troops to Ukraine, Russia is going to attack them next!"
Posted on 5/7/24 at 11:30 am to VolSquatch
quote:
"We" as in the collective west.
But you are missing the point. Each nation has a different level of interest even though all are in NATO. France and Poland both talked about sending troops. That’s the topic. The ramifications of them sending troops.
quote:
I know its a wild concept, but things our allies do impact us when we have a defense pact with them.
You just said that none of this impacts us? Now you are agreeing with me, finally.
quote:
I would be "worried" and "concerned" too if it meant that big daddy Uncle Sam would promise to protect me, even if I'm asking for it by sending troops.
So if you were a leader of a NATO country, you’d be worried that the US is in NATO also?
Crazy.
quote:
..... which is exactly my point. If Russia decides ""we are basically fighting NATO anyway, might as well shoot a missle at X factory in Poland/France" there we go waltzing into WW3 like it wasn't easily predictable.
So what are the options? You promised to protect Ukraine. Your European allies are worried for good reason, and Putin is committing more and more resources to the decade long war.
Our reaction to date was slow, but we finally got involved, but late. Biden being such a weak figure gave Putin reason to continue the war at a much higher level. The danger as I see it is not that we acted too forcefully, the danger was we didn’t react quickly or forcefully enough beginning in 2014.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 11:37 am to doubleb
quote:
You just said that none of this impacts us? Now you are agreeing with me, finally.
Reading comprehension off the charts. The outcome of the conflict in Ukraine doesn't impact us. France and Poland sending troops absolutely could.
quote:
So what are the options? You promised to protect Ukraine.
We also promised Russia to not expand NATO any further east, and we've been doing that basically every since we promised not too and decided to go even FURTHER by starting the process of admitting Ukraine. This "BUT WE PROMISED" narrative is just silly... countries use technicalities to break promises, "doctrines", policies, laws, etc etc all the time. I
quote:
Your European allies are worried for good reason
Is it a good reason? Is the point of NATO not to stop Russian aggression? Thats why we are being sold that Ukraine MUST join. But its not going to stop Russian aggression toward Poland or France now?
quote:
the danger was we didn’t react quickly or forcefully enough beginning in 2014.
I actually agree here, if we were going to do something we should have in 2014.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 12:12 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:
True enough without the artillery shells that are now arriving. In the last week, though, the lines appear to be stabilizing.
It's just going to get worse from here, they've effectively run out of men.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 12:39 pm to SirWinston
quote:
why do you doubt him?
Well, for one he's basically a Russian troll farm bot who just posts screen shots of Pro Russian propaganda social media accounts. So there's that.
And then there's the idea that the French Army has 86 brigades. Plus the Foreign Legion.
And they have successfully deployed multiple brigades in eastern Europe, Africa, and SE Asia over the years. And supported them for many many months continuously.
So him saying they could only send one or two brigades to Ukraine for a month or two.... well that sounds like someone who is ignorant. Or someone who is deliberately lying.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 12:42 pm to Lima Whiskey
quote:
they've effectively run out of men.
800 men turn 18 every day in Ukraine. They just raised 200,000 new recruits by lowering the conscription age to 25. They could raise another 1 million over the next two years by lowering it to 20. So that's just not true.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 12:59 pm to No Colors
quote:
he's basically a Russian troll farm bot who just posts screen shots of Pro Russian propaganda social media accounts.
Y'all have zero issue with someone doing the same from Pro Ukrainian propaganda social media accounts.
What exactly do you contribute to this thread? Please provide specific answers and data.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 1:02 pm to No Colors
quote:
800 men turn 18 every day in Ukraine. They just raised 200,000 new recruits by lowering the conscription age to 25. They could raise another 1 million over the next two years by lowering it to 20. So that's just not true.
The United States is openly surrendering our borders to swarthy illegals who are nothing like us, yet you want hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians to die for their border? Fighting people who are literally related to them? Who listen to the same music and worship in the same churches and who speak the same language?
All of you are pure evil.
This post was edited on 5/7/24 at 1:09 pm
Posted on 5/7/24 at 1:12 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
The outcome of the conflict in Ukraine doesn't impact us. France and Poland sending troops absolutely could.
The outcome doesn’t impact us, but the war itself does?????
quote:
We also promised Russia to not expand NATO any further east, and we've been doing that basically every since we promised not too and decided to go even FURTHER by starting the process of admitting Ukraine. This "BUT WE PROMISED" narrative is just silly... countries use technicalities to break promises, "doctrines", policies, laws, etc etc all the time. I
Do you have a link to that agreement?
I can provide a link to where both the
US and Russia agreed to protect Ukraine.
quote:
Is the point of NATO not to stop Russian aggression? Thats why we are being sold that Ukraine MUST join. But its not going to stop Russian aggression toward Poland or France now?
That’s one of the reasons NATO was formed.
BTW, I am against Ukraine joining NATO. I don’t see a whole lot of movement now to let them in.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 1:21 pm to SirWinston
quote:
Fighting people who are literally related to them? Who listen to the same music and worship in the same churches and who speak the same language?
Yes. Because they frickING INVADED you twat.
quote:
All of you are pure evil.
You keep saying that as some sort of talking point. Like the people fighting back when they got invaded are more evil than the guy who invaded them to begin with.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 1:25 pm to doubleb
quote:
The outcome doesn’t impact us, but the war itself does?????
If a NATO member is attacked, pulling us into it? Yes. If it ended today, or ended in the future without us getting pulled into it, the outcome will not impact us.
quote:
Do you have a link to that agreement?
LINK
quote:
In early February 1990, U.S. leaders made the Soviets an offer. According to transcripts of meetings in Moscow on Feb. 9, then-Secretary of State James Baker suggested that in exchange for cooperation on Germany, U.S. could make “iron-clad guarantees” that NATO would not expand “one inch eastward.” Less than a week later, Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev agreed to begin reunification talks. No formal deal was struck, but from all the evidence, the quid pro quo was clear: Gorbachev acceded to Germany’s western alignment and the U.S. would limit NATO’s expansion.
So its apparently not in writing, but we definitely made a promise.
And BTW just so we are clear, I don't think what we promised Russia OR what we promised Ukraine years and multiple administrations ago should impact our ability to make a sound decision on what is right for our country NOW.
Posted on 5/7/24 at 1:40 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
Yes really.
Nukes get used when someone is backed into a corner. The more involved the west gets, the more you're backing Russia into a corner. If nukes start flying Russia isn't worried about China aide or Gazprom profits.
And this is why the collapse of Russia is being orchestrated in Ukraine in a careful manner.
According to all of the geopolitical writers and taking heads on youtube (choose the size of your grain of salt)...
Putin will not be overthrown by the Oligarchs, nor will the people of Moscow be able to rise up and overthrow him just, yet...
But what will happen is that Russia will collapse as a unified country, meaning all the provinces will tell Moscow to frick off and stop listening to them, and the military is mired in Ukraine and can't go suppress them all at once. So then the hold on Moscow itself starts to deteriorate... and...
And then NATO will have to diplomatically get with whoever ends up in charge of each province and account for the nukes... if they even still work or are unmaintained like the rest of the Russian military equipment.
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