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Race for the EPL Top 4

Posted on 4/2/15 at 4:14 pm
Posted by Downtown Devin Brown
New Orleans, LA
Member since Sep 2013
1523 posts
Posted on 4/2/15 at 4:14 pm
I just computed some highly sophisticated statistical analysis to analyze the race for the race for the top 4 in the EPL. I did it for Man City, Arsenal, Man Utd, Liverpool, Southampton, and Tottenham (<- ). I also assumed Chelsea beats Leicester so that everyone has played 30 games. Rankings go from easiest to hardest.

Based on Remaining Opponents' Total Points:
Southampton 291
Tottenham 306
Liverpool 326
Man City 336
Arsenal 338
Man Utd 350

Based on Remaining Opponents' Average Ranking:
Southampton 12.5
Tottenham 11.5
Liverpool 10.6
Arsenal 10.3
Man City 10.0

Man Utd 9.4

Ease of remaining schedule is almost a 180 from the current standings. Have some great games coming in the next few months.
This post was edited on 4/2/15 at 4:18 pm
Posted by Meursault
Nashville
Member since Sep 2003
25172 posts
Posted on 4/2/15 at 4:18 pm to
So what are your final predictions? As a Liverpool fan I can pretty much say that if we don't beat Arsenal on Sat, it's over for us.
Posted by No Diggity Tiger
Member since Apr 2013
152 posts
Posted on 4/2/15 at 4:19 pm to
As a citeh fan, I don't agree with your "statistical analysis" as it scares me into thinking citeh will finish outside the top 4 :( . Jk,

nice post
This post was edited on 4/2/15 at 4:20 pm
Posted by Downtown Devin Brown
New Orleans, LA
Member since Sep 2013
1523 posts
Posted on 4/2/15 at 4:31 pm to
I don't really like doing predictions because I feel like a jinx. But if Arsenal can snag 5/6 pts from the next 3 games (vs Liverpool, @ Burnley, vs Chelsea) than I will be feelings comfortable.

My ballpark prediction is current top 4 finishes top 4, with Arsenal overtaking City.
Posted by Meursault
Nashville
Member since Sep 2003
25172 posts
Posted on 4/2/15 at 4:44 pm to
I think you're probably right.
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