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re: Roberts/SCOTUS needs to address this Trump shite right now

Posted on 1/1/24 at 11:17 am to
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124184 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 11:17 am to
quote:

I guess a future administration's DOJ could try ignoring the pardon, and bring the case, which would force the issue to SCOTUS?
---
Assuming the pardon was vali and legal, they could not.
Sans SCOTUS ruling in advance, how would a future DOJ determine whether the pardon was valid and legal?

Hence my post.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
99138 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 11:38 am to
quote:

quote:
Jonathan Turley a

Many other scholars do not agree with him.

We simply don't know until it gets to the USSC and they rule. Hence why I clearly said:

quote:
that would take a Supreme Court decision


You ignored the text of the Constitution.

quote:

and he shall have power to grant reprieves and pardons for offenses against the United States, except in cases of impeachment


No limitation on who he can pardon. Only a single limitation regarding WHAT he can pardon (as well as only as to offenses against the United States).
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423383 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 12:37 pm to
I explained why it wasn't true.
Posted by Turbeauxdog
Member since Aug 2004
23279 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

legal prosecution


Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423383 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

You ignored the text of the Constitution.

Redundant given

quote:

that would take a Supreme Court decision


I'm sure they'll rely on it to make their decision.

quote:

No limitation on who he can pardon.


That's up to the Supreme Court
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423383 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 1:25 pm to
I mean I believe only 1 of his 2 federal cases even has a motion to dismiss, and it's based on potential immunity and not a claim of illegality. If Trump himself isn't making the claim, perhaps we should take note.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
99138 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

quote:
No limitation on who he can pardon.


That's up to the Supreme Court


No. It's not.

The text is the text.

Basic statutory construction.

There are limitations to the pardon power:

Only for offenses against the United States

Not for impeachment.

The absence of any other limitations means it is unlimited. Period.

The Supreme Court considers the President's pardon power to be "unlimited" beyond those limitations.

LINK .
This post was edited on 1/1/24 at 2:33 pm
Posted by Turbeauxdog
Member since Aug 2004
23279 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

mean I believe only 1 of his 2 federal cases even has a motion to dismiss, and it's based on potential immunity and not a claim of illegality. If Trump himself isn't making the claim, perhaps we should take note.


Do you ever make a valid point?
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124184 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

I explained why it wasn't true.
No.
You opined, and rather nonsensically, I'd add.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423383 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 6:03 pm to
quote:

Do you ever make a valid point?

I pointed out that even Trump has not argued the prosecutions were not legal, in response to someone laughing at my language confirming the same stance. If you can't understand the point of that simple exchange, it's on you
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423383 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 6:18 pm to
quote:

You opined

You're the one trying to merge two unrelated concepts (an election of a person and a trial of a person)

Support of one doesn't mean you'll support the other and vice versa.

There are millions of people who will vote for Trump who haven't discarded the system like Patriots have. The only way to get to the merge that you propose is effectively to discard the system and destroy the institutions. Then you can discard anything and say it wasn't real because it wasn't popular.

It's actually a very strong self-fulfilling prophecy as a fallacy because even if I'm right and what I say does happen, then you'll just try to argue that the system is not valid somehow. So let's say Trump is removed by the Senate for engaging in this behavior like I predict, you will shift the blame to something else that you've invalidated like the media and then try to claim that the removal is not valid or legal because of that taint. You create constantly moving targets so that you can never be wrong
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423383 posts
Posted on 1/1/24 at 6:19 pm to
quote:

The Supreme Court considers the President's pardon power to be "unlimited" beyond those limitations.

There is no president from the Supreme Court saying whether or not the president can pardon himself. I understand your proposed interpretation and I've seen others make it, and I've seen other proposed interpretations that disagree, but it's all guessing until we have a precedent. There's nothing controversial with what I'm saying either and I'm not weighing which side of the fence I think they'll come down on or which one I think is right. I'm just making a statement of reality about reality
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124184 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 5:37 am to
quote:

You're the one trying to merge two unrelated concepts (an election of a person and a trial of a person)
The "person" in this instance is the POTUS.

So in this instance, as we have discussed, the civil and criminal accusations will be a part of the Fall campaign. Trump will be asked about his plans in dealing with them hundreds of times in hundreds of ways. His plans re: pardon will be well known to the electorate prior to November.

If he is elected, it will be in large part due to the charges (and the banana republic law they represent) rather than in spite of them. If he is elected, there is also likelihood he'll carry the Senate and House with him.

You opine Congress would impeach Trump if the DOJ dropped the case, and/or if he pardoned himself. Given the premise of GOP Congressional majorities, how exactly, in your opinion, would impeachment go down?

In a scenario where the electorate determines the POTUS & Congress, and POTUS/Congress in turn determine the AG, the charges, trials, and election are not only not "unrelated concepts," they are inextricably linked.

If that is not clear, let me know.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124184 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 5:41 am to
quote:

I've seen other proposed interpretations that disagree
Have you?

As the Constitutional language appears crystal clear, could you cite those interpretations or reproduce their arguments here?
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
60572 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 7:12 am to
quote:

Roberts has skeletons that likely fill his closet.

He's terrified of running afoul of his hosts' agendas and finding himself off the invite list for the swanky Beltway parties.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423383 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 7:19 am to
quote:

You opine Congress would impeach Trump if the DOJ dropped the case, and/or if he pardoned himself. Given the premise of GOP Congressional majorities, how exactly, in your opinion, would impeachment go down?

Already been explained a few times.

quote:

The DEMs will leverage that interference. These prosecutions are pretty heavily supported by the public and there will be enough pressure on moderates to put Trump in danger from impeachment and possibly removal.


The 2026 election season starts a few months after the inauguration. If those prosecutions just go poof, it's going to create the biggest shitstorm Trump may have ever faced. Assuming the GOP has a majority in one of the houses, there will be a LOT of pressure on every moderate GOP member in either chamber with an election in 2026 to come out against this. Either the GOP members can be pressured into the support of removal or the DEMs can try to get the #s to remove him in 2026.

quote:

In a scenario where the electorate determines the POTUS & Congress, and POTUS/Congress in turn determine the AG, the charges, trials, and election are not only not "unrelated concepts," they are inextricably linked.

Again, there are a LOT of GOP voters who will hold their nose and vote for Trump without rallying direct supporting Trump, and they will do so believing he'll beat the criminal cases in court.

And this is also all just a conversation about the 2 federal cases. Trump has 2 other criminal cases in state courts that he can't stop (either via pardon or administratively). If Trump gets convicted on either/both of those, while having a hand in dropping his federal cases, it will make him look like he knew he was guilty of the federal cases and "cheated to win", as Eddie Guerrero would say.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56682 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 7:29 am to
quote:

If those prosecutions just go poof, it's going to create the biggest shitstorm Trump may have ever faced. Assuming the GOP has a majority in one of the houses, there will be a LOT of pressure on every moderate GOP member in either chamber with an election in 2026 to come out against this. Either the GOP members can be pressured into the support of removal or the DEMs can try to get the #s to remove him in 2026.


Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423383 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 7:30 am to
quote:

could you cite those interpretations or reproduce their arguments here?


Brookings

Frank O. Bowman, III (

UVA Law discussion on it

There are even some historical-language arguments that would fit in with the originalist interpretation that's favored on the court now. Now I will say that sometimes the same justices will shift from originalism to more of a "pure" textualism and back, depending on the politics of the case.
Posted by finchmeister08
Member since Mar 2011
35800 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 7:31 am to
quote:

imagine the outrage about all of this results in BOTH houses of Congress going to the GOP.


Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124184 posts
Posted on 1/2/24 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Already been explained a few times.
Your political opinions are neither "explanations," nor effective counters to fact.

quote:

These prosecutions are pretty heavily supported by the public
That is your opinion. IMO, any public "support" is tenuous and based on the nature of a one-sided narrative to this point. As an example of tenuity, polling skews the public very heavily against unfair or disproportionate application of law. Establishing the fact of unfairness will slaughter public acceptance of the DOJ BS.

Again, the Fall process will serve as a referendum as national elections always do. The structure of the POTUS campaign will substantiate an antithetical narrative to that currently being fed to the populace. If not, Trump will not be elected.

If the public holds the perception in November which you claim it does now, Trump will not be electable. Simple as that.
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