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RCP POLLING AVERAGE - Swing states
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:09 am
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:09 am
RCP POLLING AVERAGE (11/10)
Trump 45.6% (+1.1)
Biden 44.5%
.
4 years ago
Biden 52.1% (+10.2)
Trump 41.9%
—
• Georgia: R+5.5
• Nevada: R+4
• Arizona: R+3.7
• Pennsylvania: R+1.5
• Michigan: R+1
• Wisconsin: D+0.7
—
Electoral College based on polls
Trump 301
Biden 235
LINK
Trump 45.6% (+1.1)
Biden 44.5%
.
4 years ago
Biden 52.1% (+10.2)
Trump 41.9%
—
• Georgia: R+5.5
• Nevada: R+4
• Arizona: R+3.7
• Pennsylvania: R+1.5
• Michigan: R+1
• Wisconsin: D+0.7
—
Electoral College based on polls
Trump 301
Biden 235
LINK
9
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:11 am to jbdawgs03
Not enough to beat the cheat in many if not all of those states. (That’s if one assumes the #s are accurate.)
This post was edited on 11/13/23 at 8:50 am
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:13 am to jbdawgs03
Trump or any other Republican nominee should be handing the Democrats a 1984-esqe defeat, but the fact that they are not means one (or a combination) of three things:
1.) Republicans really, really suck at campaigning
2.) It's all crooked as hell
3.) People really are that stupid
1.) Republicans really, really suck at campaigning
2.) It's all crooked as hell
3.) People really are that stupid
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:14 am to BigMob
So the solution is what?
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:15 am to TheFonz
Amazing that Ronna still has a job.
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:15 am to TheFonz
quote:
means one (or a combination) of three things:
1.) Republicans really, really suck at campaigning
2.) It's all crooked as hell
3.) People really are that stupid
4) All of the above
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:18 am to BigMob
quote:
Not enough to beat the cheat in many if any of those states. (That’s if one assumes the #s are accurate.)
If those numbers are accurate Trump would easily win.
The real question is are those numbers actually accurate.
This post was edited on 11/13/23 at 7:20 am
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:19 am to jbdawgs03
The cheating will be massive. They got away with it in 2020, they know nothing to stop them in 2024 and they won't even try to hide it.
They will extend it to house and senate races.
Any polls you see with Trump ahead are designed to give the dems cover to take Biden out. They can't let Biden back in, die, and be stuck with Kamala for 8 to 10 years.
Trump may really be ahead but we will never know because polls, media polls, are designed to give an outcome, not reflect voter sentiment.
They can't let Trump back in.
They will extend it to house and senate races.
Any polls you see with Trump ahead are designed to give the dems cover to take Biden out. They can't let Biden back in, die, and be stuck with Kamala for 8 to 10 years.
Trump may really be ahead but we will never know because polls, media polls, are designed to give an outcome, not reflect voter sentiment.
They can't let Trump back in.
This post was edited on 11/13/23 at 7:50 am
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:21 am to jbdawgs03
I wish it were true. You can go ahead and give Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan to the Dems. What does that make the electoral count? 
Nevermind, I did the math:
Biden 281
Trump 255
Nevermind, I did the math:
Biden 281
Trump 255
This post was edited on 11/13/23 at 7:24 am
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:23 am to Stidham8
quote:
If those numbers are accurate Trump would easily win
Dude they can find 1-3% blindfolded esp in states with a Dem Gov, Dem SOS & Dem AG.
This post was edited on 11/13/23 at 7:32 am
Posted on 11/13/23 at 7:28 am to TheFonz
2 and 3 are true so it doesn't matter how good they campaign
Posted on 11/13/23 at 9:19 am to TheFonz
quote:
Trump or any other Republican nominee should be handing the Democrats a 1984-esqe defeat, but the fact that they are not means one (or a combination) of three things:
Neither side will get a landslide like that again. At least not in the near future. Country is too polarized, too many states will go red or blue no matter what
Posted on 11/13/23 at 9:19 am to Robcrzy
The only way Trump will win is to make abortion a national issue. It was his greatest victory and the pro life lets will push him over the line.
Posted on 11/13/23 at 9:22 am to jbdawgs03
Polls....... BCS !..
Before Cheatin' Starts
Before Cheatin' Starts
Posted on 11/13/23 at 9:36 am to jbdawgs03
If the actual real polling isn't somewhere with Trump 8-10 points up then everyone of those states will just be won by ballot harvesting, that simple.
Posted on 11/13/23 at 9:48 am to jbdawgs03
Polling means nothing, it's not 1980 anymore.
Swing and a miss in 2016.
Base hit in 2020.
There will be nothing but grand slams for the Democrats until the voting system is torn down and built anew.
Swing and a miss in 2016.
Base hit in 2020.
There will be nothing but grand slams for the Democrats until the voting system is torn down and built anew.
Posted on 11/13/23 at 9:48 am to TheFonz
quote:
but the fact that they are not means
Suburban white women who are swing voters will vote for abortion rights over just about anything else regardless of what they admit to their social groups.
Posted on 11/13/23 at 10:06 am to jbdawgs03
I'll believe it when I see it.
Posted on 11/13/23 at 10:06 am to dietcoke7
quote:
They can't let Trump back in.
This. It'll never happen again.
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