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Official Senate Results Thread R 52(+7) D 45(-7) Surfs Up-GOP Wave
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:42 pm
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:42 pm
Feel free to update results from Senate races around the country.
GOP needs to net 6 seats to take the Senate. 8 really close races with 2 of them looking like they will go to a runoff.
5pm- Kentucky- Look for Grimes to lead early since Jefferson County will come in quickly(Louisville) but then the rural counties will follow. Most ballots will be counted by 9pm.
6pm- Georgia- Look for Perdue to lead early and then Atlanta will come in late. Most likely it will go to a runoff. 75% will be counted by 10pm
New Hampshire- This is one to watch early. If Brown is close or ahead then it could be a big night for the GOP.
Virginia- Warner has been able to hold Gillespie at arms distance. GOP leaning counties will report first and then Fairfax and NOVA will trickle in.
6:30- NC- Hagan vs Tillis. Hagan will lead early and she will try to improve on Obama's #'s from Wake and Mecklenburg Counties. Tillis will close some but can he overtake? 75%-85% should be counted by 10pm
7:00 KS- This one will most likely come down to the wire. Look at Sedgwick and Johnson Counties. Orman will need at least one of those counties and probably both. He needs a bigger margin in Johnson. Slow counting here...maybe 70% in by midnight.
7:30- Arkansas- Pryor has been floundering lately but he will get off to a lead as the Dem leaning counties will report first. This has been hailed as the 4th easiest pickup chance for the GOP.
8:00- Colorado- Watch El Paso county(GOP needs to run up the score) as well as Jefferson(county mirrors the final result), Larimer(see Jeff county), and Arapahoe(Udall will need 3-5% win to be in the hunt). Counts will be pretty even throughout the night and hopefully we can get about 75% counted by 11pm.
Louisiana- Another one that will most likely go to a runoff. Cameron is the place to watch. Mary got 50%, a lot of white catholics.
9:00 Iowa- Braley will be out early as the Dem leaning counties report. Can Ernst overtake and will we even have a result tonight? This could be the closest race of the night. Hope 75% reporting by 11pm or so.
11:00- Alaska. Begich vs Sullivan. They are notoriously slow counting and with the Senate possibly hanging in the balance it probably wont be decided till in the morning or maybe later. Be lucky to have 70% in by 4am.
First polls will close in about 20 min and exit polls are due out anytime
GOP needs to net 6 seats to take the Senate. 8 really close races with 2 of them looking like they will go to a runoff.
5pm- Kentucky- Look for Grimes to lead early since Jefferson County will come in quickly(Louisville) but then the rural counties will follow. Most ballots will be counted by 9pm.
6pm- Georgia- Look for Perdue to lead early and then Atlanta will come in late. Most likely it will go to a runoff. 75% will be counted by 10pm
New Hampshire- This is one to watch early. If Brown is close or ahead then it could be a big night for the GOP.
Virginia- Warner has been able to hold Gillespie at arms distance. GOP leaning counties will report first and then Fairfax and NOVA will trickle in.
6:30- NC- Hagan vs Tillis. Hagan will lead early and she will try to improve on Obama's #'s from Wake and Mecklenburg Counties. Tillis will close some but can he overtake? 75%-85% should be counted by 10pm
7:00 KS- This one will most likely come down to the wire. Look at Sedgwick and Johnson Counties. Orman will need at least one of those counties and probably both. He needs a bigger margin in Johnson. Slow counting here...maybe 70% in by midnight.
7:30- Arkansas- Pryor has been floundering lately but he will get off to a lead as the Dem leaning counties will report first. This has been hailed as the 4th easiest pickup chance for the GOP.
8:00- Colorado- Watch El Paso county(GOP needs to run up the score) as well as Jefferson(county mirrors the final result), Larimer(see Jeff county), and Arapahoe(Udall will need 3-5% win to be in the hunt). Counts will be pretty even throughout the night and hopefully we can get about 75% counted by 11pm.
Louisiana- Another one that will most likely go to a runoff. Cameron is the place to watch. Mary got 50%, a lot of white catholics.
9:00 Iowa- Braley will be out early as the Dem leaning counties report. Can Ernst overtake and will we even have a result tonight? This could be the closest race of the night. Hope 75% reporting by 11pm or so.
11:00- Alaska. Begich vs Sullivan. They are notoriously slow counting and with the Senate possibly hanging in the balance it probably wont be decided till in the morning or maybe later. Be lucky to have 70% in by 4am.
First polls will close in about 20 min and exit polls are due out anytime
This post was edited on 11/4/14 at 10:37 pm
18
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:45 pm to TN_Tigers
Word coming out of Colorado is that Republicans are shocked, in a good way, at the numbers they are hearing.
In addition, people are hinting at another state, thought not to be in play, which could end up being a surprise for the Republicans.
In addition, people are hinting at another state, thought not to be in play, which could end up being a surprise for the Republicans.
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:47 pm to TN_Tigers
WHERE'S JOSHUA CHAMBERLAIN!?
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:47 pm to TN_Tigers
RCP final polling says 52-47-1 based on no-tossups.
I hope that holds, at a minimum.
I hope that holds, at a minimum.
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:49 pm to teke184
quote:
In addition, people are hinting at another state, thought not to be in play, which could end up being a surprise for the Republicans.
November surprise????
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:53 pm to Vols&Shaft83
quote:
November surprise????
Probably New Hampshire with Brown closing fast.
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:55 pm to KosmoCramer
quote:
WHERE'S JOSHUA CHAMBERLAIN!?
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:55 pm to teke184
quote:
people are hinting at another state, thought not to be in play, which could end up being a surprise for the Republicans
I know it's a pipe dream, but i'm hoping it's Minnesota. I despise Al Franken
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:56 pm to Radiojones
Joshua Chamberlain's done, it's over
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:56 pm to FAF
This is a state thought to be out of play, not one where the Republican was in the margin of error.
The thinking is that it is possibly Virginia, where Ed Gillespie is taking on Tim Kaine.
The thinking is that it is possibly Virginia, where Ed Gillespie is taking on Tim Kaine.
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:56 pm to teke184
I love the highs and lows of election day rumors.
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:57 pm to teke184
quote:
Word coming out of Colorado is that Republicans are shocked, in a good way, at the numbers they are hearing.
Any link to this? Would love to read or see this somewhere...
This post was edited on 11/4/14 at 4:58 pm
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:58 pm to ClientNumber9
quote:
Word coming out of Colorado is that Republicans are shocked, in a good way, at the numbers they are hearing.
Posted on 11/4/14 at 4:58 pm to KosmoCramer
quote:
WHERE'S JOSHUA CHAMBERLAIN!?
He's like the PJ of the poliboard.
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:02 pm to TN_Tigers
Most of NH closes in one hour , at 7:00 Eastern, but there are some that don't close until 8:00 PM.
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:06 pm to TN_Tigers
I love election night so much. 
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:06 pm to NHTIGER
quote:
Most of NH closes in one hour , at 7:00 Eastern, but there are some that don't close until 8:00 PM.
Yeah some states had multiple time zones..I was just doing small summaries so I can get out of work and start tracking some data.
quote:
Word in Colorado
Turnout has been up from what I hear. Denver and the surburbs.
El Paso county was the first to exceed their 2010 numbers..Buck(R) took that county 60-40.
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:14 pm to The Boat
Not sure what the first freak out will be:
Grimes ahead early or Gillespie in VA ahead early. Both should happen judging on historical trends.
I'll be in contact with people in KS(Sedgwick Co) and CO(Jefferson/Arapahoe) that are pretty solid at predicting those 2 states..I'll pass along any info get.
Grimes ahead early or Gillespie in VA ahead early. Both should happen judging on historical trends.
I'll be in contact with people in KS(Sedgwick Co) and CO(Jefferson/Arapahoe) that are pretty solid at predicting those 2 states..I'll pass along any info get.
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:16 pm to TN_Tigers
quote:
TN_Tigers
Not sure if it's been said, but I've appreciated your updates and insights the past few weeks. I'm a lurker on here mostly but I'm a political junkie through and through. Election night is my Super Bowl.
Any info you have from KS, CO and IA would be money. Again, much thanks for your updates.
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:20 pm to ClientNumber9
quote:
TN_Tigers
Not sure if it's been said, but I've appreciated your updates and insights the past few weeks. I'm a lurker on here mostly but I'm a political junkie through and through. Election night is my Super Bowl.
Any info you have from KS, CO and IA would be money. Again, much thanks for your updates.
I second that .
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