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Started By
Message
Nate the Plastic Man, Melteth
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:29 pm
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:29 pm
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:30 pm to CptBengal
Wow, that's a no-shite meltdown. My hat ossoff to him.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:32 pm to CptBengal
Espn needs to dump that failed experiment.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:32 pm to cokebottleag
Nate pot metal , at this point....
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:32 pm to cokebottleag
Nate came around in the last week to this being a much more competitive race.
As usual, this coincided with data coming in on Handel's side.
As usual, this coincided with data coming in on Handel's side.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:33 pm to CptBengal
That's about as melt-tastic as you can get. Literally saying that math - the universal language - is incorrect because the "favored" candidate didn't win.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:33 pm to Pettifogger
The DNC is breaking their own data by demonizing and driving underground the right wing supporters.
Can't tell what people are thinking when you tell them to shut up and check their privilege.
Can't tell what people are thinking when you tell them to shut up and check their privilege.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:34 pm to CptBengal
Nate is pissed because he realizes that he cannot perform accurate meta data analysis when the underlying pollsters (likely most of them) manipulate the outcomes to push a particular canidate. The old axiom rings true, garbage in garbage out.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:34 pm to CptBengal
And here was his tweet yesterday as the polls changed dramatically over the last week:
quote:RCP had it as +3.2 Ossoff on 06/13, and +0.2 Handel on 06/19 (last poll on 06/18).
Georgia 6 now looking more like a pure 50/50 toss-up, instead of a slight Ossoff edge.
This post was edited on 6/20/17 at 10:41 pm
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:38 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
RCP had it as +3.2 Ossoff on 06/13, and +0.2 Handel on 06/19.
And it's looking +7?
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:39 pm to Turbeauxdog
quote:
And it's looking +7?
Boom.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:39 pm to buckeye_vol
LOL at people down voting you
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:40 pm to CptBengal
Math and Data aren't broken Nate.
They didn't draw the conclusions, they just exist. Own it, Nate
They didn't draw the conclusions, they just exist. Own it, Nate
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:40 pm to Turbeauxdog
quote:It's +5.4 with 99% reporting, which is consistent with the dramatic trend over the last week.
And it's looking +7?
This post was edited on 6/20/17 at 10:44 pm
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:41 pm to CptBengal
Any more wrong and he'd be CNN material.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:44 pm to GumboPot
quote:
Nate is pissed because he realizes that he cannot perform accurate meta data analysis when the underlying pollsters (likely most of them) manipulate the outcomes to push a particular canidate
The most accurate poster in 2016, Trafalgar, wasn't even used in Nates methodology. He picks those he likes, and then writes a narrative around them.
But he always leaves that 20-30% caveat, so that he can later say, "I was the only one giving Handel (Trump) a shot"
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:45 pm to RobbBobb
quote:That's a lie and I've pointed it out to you before.
The most accurate poster in 2016, Trafalgar, wasn't even used in Nates methodology.
Posted on 6/20/17 at 10:46 pm to RobbBobb
I can't speak to Nate's metrics, but that Trafalgar poll was probably the primary factor in him moving this to a pure toss up. Hard to say he doesn't consider it in some form or another.
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