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Nate silver says even money bet that Trump doesn't finish his term

Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:01 pm
Posted by Dayman
Member since Sep 2015
713 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:01 pm
Is this true? I don't know where to find odds on these things.

LINK
Posted by _Hurricane_
Somewhere
Member since Feb 2016
4455 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:03 pm to
You can't find odds on that because he just made it up.
Posted by PuntBamaPunt
Member since Nov 2010
10070 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:04 pm to
quote:

Thus, while Clinton’s a 76 percent favorite to win the popular vote according to our polls-only forecast, her odds are more tenuous — 64 percent — to win the Electoral College.


LINK /
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
11310 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:04 pm to
Nate Bronze sucks. Garbage.


He also looks like a little weasel
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:04 pm to
quote:

You can't find odds on that because he just made it up.



Of course he did.

Saying something is "50-50" is utterly meaningless.
Posted by Dayman
Member since Sep 2015
713 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:07 pm to
quote:

Saying something is "50-50" is utterly meaningless.


He didn't say he thought it was 50-50. He said betting markets had it at 50-50.

The two are different, though equally absurd.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:10 pm to
quote:

He didn't say he thought it was 50-50. He said betting markets had it at 50-50.

The two are different, though equally absurd.



depressing that half the people actually believe that because that is what the betting market is, whatever it needs to be to make for the bets to be even

Thanks for the correction.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35237 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:14 pm to
Apparently it was from Ladbrokes. Trump Betting Odds
quote:

But savvy political punters have continued to back the odds at all rates down and it is now chalked up at just 10/11.
Posted by DawgfaninCa
San Francisco, California
Member since Sep 2012
20092 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:14 pm to
quote:

Nate silver says even money bet that Trump doesn't finish his term


Silver will lose that bet big league.
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
78623 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:16 pm to
The Progressive Establishment has it's superstitions and rituals too. One is thinking Nate Silver has the magic talisman, and believing it as an article of faith even when the evidence to the contrary is staring you in the face.
Posted by KCT
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
38911 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:17 pm to
Yeah, like he would really make a large wager on that. NOT.


This is all about trying to control the (false) narrative with the American public. These blowhards have been talking about impeachment since the early morning hours of 11/9.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98188 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:19 pm to
No impeachment. Health reasons, either real or code for bored and frustrated.
Posted by Chrome
Chromeville
Member since Nov 2007
10328 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:22 pm to
Wonder what odds ole Nate gave Trump to win the presidentcy to begin with?
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
101404 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:22 pm to
Bet the house!!!
Posted by Bayou
CenLA
Member since Feb 2005
36811 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:23 pm to
Trump has my vote next election!
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35237 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:47 pm to
quote:

Yeah, like he would really make a large wager on that. NOT.
Well he never said he would, and besides it seems like a good value to bet AGAINST impeachment.
quote:

This is all about trying to control the (false) narrative with the American public.
Ahhh yes. A multibillion dollar British betting company is going to create unnecessary risk to its primary revenue stream so that it can control the political narrative in the United States.
Posted by KCT
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
38911 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:51 pm to
quote:

Ahhh yes. A multibillion dollar British betting company is going to create unnecessary risk to its primary revenue stream so that it can control the political narrative in the United States.





Of course they wouldn't really do it, dipshit. That's the first point I made.

But, he knows it doesn't cost him anything to make a retarded comment like that.

You know, BV, you have such an obsession with trolling me that you don't even care whether or not you make sense. Go frick yourself, a-hole.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118782 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

Nate silver


Posted by baobabtiger
Member since May 2009
4722 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 8:53 pm to
According to him Hillary had a 99% chance of winning.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35237 posts
Posted on 5/10/17 at 9:00 pm to
quote:

Of course they wouldn't really do it, dip shite. That's the first point I made
Yes. So clearly something is driving the odds, whether it's heavy betting on one side, their probability models moving, or a combination of both.
quote:

But, he knows it doesn't cost him anything to make a retarded comment like that.
What is wrong with the comment? It's interesting, whatever reason for the move.

Besides, The Daily Caller (Tucker Carlson's website), wrote about the same betting site and the odds given for Trump to win the Nobel Peace Prize.

Trump Peace Prize Odds
quote:

You know, BV, you have such an obsession with trolling me that you don't even care whether or not you make sense. Go frick yourself, a-hole.
You acted like Silver, or someone just made it up to control the narrative. I'm telling you it's a legitimate betting site, and they have near even odds, like the tweet said.
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