re: How the ‘24 election plays out

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Trump has an ardent base of followers, but he's not expanding his voting base. Moderates, independents and "undecideds" are going in a different direction-- if not Biden, then JFK. They're NOT choosing Trump.

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Correct, Trump got 76 million votes in 2020. If by some miracle, pedo Joe did recieve 81 million, you think they will still vote for him again? No, they will vote for RFK jr. Trumps base will be there no matter what. Nobody is enthused about voting again for a pedophile. They will be a no shoe or vote jfk jr.

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He won by a landslide in 2020

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No, he didn't.

He may have won by a tiny sliver of a margin, like he did in 2016.

People who don't pay attention to details think he won big in 2016 because they only look at the EC results.

He didn't.

He only won because Jill Stein syphoned off about twice the 3rd party vote that she usually does from Clinton in three key states. But the Democratic Party stopped any chance of that in 2020 by getting the Green Party kicked off the ballot in two of those states. Trump's margin of victory in the states that swung the 2016 election was smaller than the number of votes Jill Stein got. We're talking about roughly 10,000 votes in Michigan, 44,000 in Pennsylvania, 23,000 in Wisconsin, and 113,000 in Florida.

Fewer than 200,000 votes total.

So he may not have won at all in 2020. If he did it was by another super-slim margin that was small enough to be able to be overcome by dirty tricks.

Those of you who think someone would have been able to manufacture 15 million votes or something ridiculous like that to swing the election are the people I wish stupidity was painful for.

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If by some miracle, pedo Joe did recieve 81 million, you think they will still vote for him again?

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1. Biden didn't get 81 million votes. "Not Trump" got 81 million votes, and there's absolutely zero reason to believe that didn't happen. Why do y'all constantly miss the fact that Trump may be the most hated POTUS ever? Maybe even more than Nixon?

2. Do I think people will vote in any significant numbers for RFK Jr.? I'm not going to guarantee that the answer is no, but I highly doubt it, regardless of what the polls are saying at this moment.

The whole point of voting "Not Trump" isn't to cast a protest vote. It's to actually try to keep him out of office.

And the closer we get to the election, the more desperate the media will become to help make that happen, and the people will respond, just like they did in 2020.

I could be wrong, but if I was forced to make a bet today, that's what I would bet. I don't see any reason to think that RFK jr. gets any significant number of votes in swing states. He may get some votes in states that are already decided.