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re: GOP blogger on the missing story of the election
Posted on 11/18/14 at 3:45 pm to Hawkeye95
Posted on 11/18/14 at 3:45 pm to Hawkeye95
Choice quotes omitted.
Best insight in the article IMHO.
quote:quote:
- Across the country, every major Democratic ballot initiative was successful, including every minimum wage increase, even in the red states.
The only exception might be the DL issue in Oregon but not sure if that was a democratic ballot initiative.
- Almost half of the Republican Congressional delegation now comes from the former Confederacy. Total coincidence, just pointing that out.
- In Congress, there are no more white Democrats from the South. The long flight of the Dixiecrats has concluded
quote:
Texas now holds a tenth of the GOP majority in the House.
quote:
- And that “Republican wave?” In Congressional elections this year it amounted to a total of 52% of the vote. That’s it.
Best insight in the article IMHO.
quote:
This is an age built for Republican solutions. The global economy is undergoing a massive, accelerating transformation that promises massive new wealth and staggering challenges. We need heads-up, intelligent adaptations to capitalize on those challenges. Republicans, with their traditional leadership on commercial issues should be at the leading edge of planning to capitalize on this emerging environment.
What are we getting from Republicans? Climate denial, theocracy, thinly veiled racism, paranoia, and Benghazi hearings. Lots and lots of hearings on Benghazi.
1
Posted on 11/18/14 at 3:57 pm to Jim Rockford
Good post. Thanks for the link.
And Immigration will be the coup de grace.
GOP candidates will be forced to take a position ( an unfavorabile one) :
* anti-immigration = you might win nomination but you just lost the general
* pro-immigration = you just lost the nomination.
Dumb asses
I heard on XM-Sirius POTUS this weekend that if current racial voting trends hold, GOP will have to win 65% of the white vote. They won roughly 55% and 59% for McCain and Romney ...so...yeah....that's almost certainly not happening.
If the Ds win Ohio, Virginia or Florida it's over. The Senate races will be the only ones of interest.
quote:
The 2014 election not only continued that doomed pattern, it doubled down on it. As a result, it became apparent from the numbers last week that no Republican candidate has a credible shot at the White House in 2016, and the chance of the GOP holding the Senate for longer than two years is precisely zero.
...
The Blue Wall is block of states that no Republican Presidential candidate can realistically hope to win. Tuesday that block finally extended to New Hampshire, meaning that at the outset of any Presidential campaign, a minimally effective Democratic candidate can expect to win 257 electoral votes without even trying. That’s 257 out of the 270 needed to win.
And Immigration will be the coup de grace.
GOP candidates will be forced to take a position ( an unfavorabile one) :
* anti-immigration = you might win nomination but you just lost the general
* pro-immigration = you just lost the nomination.
Dumb asses
I heard on XM-Sirius POTUS this weekend that if current racial voting trends hold, GOP will have to win 65% of the white vote. They won roughly 55% and 59% for McCain and Romney ...so...yeah....that's almost certainly not happening.
If the Ds win Ohio, Virginia or Florida it's over. The Senate races will be the only ones of interest.
This post was edited on 11/18/14 at 3:59 pm
Posted on 11/18/14 at 4:00 pm to Hawkeye95
I watched snowpiercer because of your avatar a couple of weeks ago.
Awesome movie - I watched it twice.
Awesome movie - I watched it twice.
Posted on 11/18/14 at 4:07 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:
declining electoral bloc of aging, white, rural voters
I tend to believe that white women and younger whites will begin fleeing the Democratic Party once their agenda of open borders, a shitty economy and the continued evisceration of the middle class comes more into focus.
Mrs. Wendy Davis (I know, it's Texas) was a big turnoff to suburban white women.
So in the future, we'll have Democrats (homosexuals, miscreants and minorities) and Republicans (whites). No more of this soccer mom shite turning the tide for Democrats.
Posted on 11/18/14 at 4:15 pm to texashorn
quote:
will begin fleeing the Democratic Party once their agenda of open borders, a shitty economy and the continued evisceration of the middle class comes more into focus.
I think they might have a different take on that.
Posted on 11/18/14 at 4:18 pm to a want
quote:
GOP will have to win 65% of the white vote. They won roughly 55% and 59% for McCain and Romney ...so...yeah....that's almost certainly not happening.
They got 60 during midterms. It's trending that way...Dems can't keep bashing whites to pander to minorities and expect them to keep voting for them.
All the GOP has to do is cut into the minority vote by a few percentage points in key swing states and it can change elections in a big way
Posted on 11/18/14 at 4:35 pm to a want
quote:
I watched snowpiercer because of your avatar a couple of weeks ago.
Awesome movie - I watched it twice.
HA HA
I didn't really like the movie but I loved that character.
quote:
GOP candidates will be forced to take a position ( an unfavorabile one) :
* anti-immigration = you might win nomination but you just lost the general
* pro-immigration = you just lost the nomination.
Dumb asses
I heard on XM-Sirius POTUS this weekend that if current racial voting trends hold, GOP will have to win 65% of the white vote. They won roughly 55% and 59% for McCain and Romney ...so...yeah....that's almost certainly not happening.
If the Ds win Ohio, Virginia or Florida it's over. The Senate races will be the only ones of interest.
obama is laying a trap. He is setting up the democrats to seal the deal in 2016, maybe 2020 by forcing the republicans to defend their hispanic policies.
The other option is he is completely clueless, which is a definite possibility.
Posted on 11/18/14 at 4:36 pm to texashorn
quote:
I tend to believe that white women and younger whites will begin fleeing the Democratic Party once their agenda of open borders, a shitty economy and the continued evisceration of the middle class comes more into focus.
Mrs. Wendy Davis (I know, it's Texas) was a big turnoff to suburban white women.
in texas, the turnout was 30%, the lowest in the nation. I gotta say they must not care that much if they didn't even bother to show up.
Posted on 11/18/14 at 4:36 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:This is a contradictory post. He talks about how Senate results can't be extrapolated to make conclusions about Presidential races and then pronounces New Hampshire as safe Blue forever because a popular incumbent (Shaheen) beat the tide.
The Blue Wall is block of states that no Republican Presidential candidate can realistically hope to win. Tuesday that block finally extended to New Hampshire, meaning that at the outset of any Presidential campaign, a minimally effective Democratic candidate can expect to win 257 electoral votes without even trying. That’s 257 out of the 270 needed to win.
CO and NH are listed as "safe" here despite going for Obama by 5%... 1% more than the national popular vote. Is it suddenly impossible for Reps to win the popular vote by more than 1%? Or to make up the difference with a better ground game?
Plus, how are CO and NH safe at +5, and with flips this century, while AZ and WV are swing states at -12 and -27? WV had a higher margin for Romney than AL!
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