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re: Electoral College Predictions

Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:23 pm to
Posted by FlexDawg
Member since Jan 2018
12812 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:23 pm to
Exactly. The enthusiasm margin is even bigger in favor of Trump than it was in 2016.
Posted by unotiger21
Member since Sep 2010
934 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:25 pm to
I have him still winning Arizona. Will be very close.
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
36121 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:25 pm to
quote:

Why are some of you so convinced Trump is going to lose? 

1) Stupidity of the American electorate

2) Voter fraud
Posted by unotiger21
Member since Sep 2010
934 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:27 pm to
I expect some shenanigans in those 2 states. I hope he will win Michigan but I’m not counting on it.

As far as Pennsylvania, I think Biden will win the state by a close margin.
Posted by FlyingTiger1955
Member since Jan 2019
5765 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:27 pm to
AZ flips blue too.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:28 pm to
I love handwringing give up threads, especially before the election has actually started!
Posted by FlyingTiger1955
Member since Jan 2019
5765 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:31 pm to
I agree, I believe Democratic dominance is established after this election. GOP will go down in the house as redistributing and changing demographics do them in. They may be more competitive in the Senate but will eventually shrink there as well. In 20 to 30 years, the US will be a one party country.
Posted by Stidham8
Member since Aug 2018
6973 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:36 pm to
Biden is an awful candidate and his popularity has nowhere to go but down. His cognitive decline will be magnified as the election approaches. Durham’s investigation is going to be a thorn in the Democrats side and give Republicans a boost too.

Trump is the favorite. The current polls mean little. They will narrow significantly over the next 6 months.
Posted by FlyingTiger1955
Member since Jan 2019
5765 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:37 pm to
I have voted in every Presidential election since Ford. I have voted Republican in every election. These elections have changed a lot over the years and I don’t have much confidence in this country going forward. I’m not sure I am going to vote for Trump in 2020. I don’t like the tweets at all and the defensive, combative attitude. I may just give up and vote Democrat or not vote period.
Posted by bird35
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
12208 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:43 pm to
I need to see how vote by mail ends up.

Republicans will not win any State with vote by mail.

Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
24843 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:43 pm to
quote:

Are you expecting massive voter fraud in those states?
Yes, among others.
Posted by Bayoutigre
29.9N 92.1W
Member since Feb 2007
5627 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:44 pm to
Trump gets the nod unopposed
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90732 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 6:53 pm to
I think Trump wins all swing states he got in 2016 except Arizona.

I think he picks up Maine, NH, Virginia, and Minnesota.
Posted by SmashvilleTiger
Nashville
Member since Apr 2020
26 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 7:04 pm to
So you dislike Trumps tweets ....

There are two very different directions that Trump and the Democratic Party are wanting to take this country.

It’s not rocket science.

#MAGA
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
68039 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 7:05 pm to
Are we doing mail in voting?
Posted by keakar
Member since Jan 2017
30081 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 7:06 pm to
trump 350-375 ish

simply by default biden gets the rest
Posted by unotiger21
Member since Sep 2010
934 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 7:25 pm to
Would be awesome but I don’t see any chance in hell that he wins Virginia.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71233 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

Why are some of you so convinced Trump is going to lose? He’s going to win by a bigger margin than 2016. Biden ain’t exciting the dem base


I'm worried because he had to thread the needle in 2016 and the Dims aren't going to be complacent thus time. You also added a lot of Puerto Ricans to Florida, and they vote D. You added a lot of California locusts to Arizona.

I think Biden would be a disaster and Narc would be even worse, so I hope I'm wrong.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
71233 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

In 20 to 30 years, the US will be a one party country.


That isn't sustainable. There would be enough infighting to revert to a two-party system, like we did after the Federalist and Whig parties died out.

Secular progressive hipster douchebags are diametrically opposed to the interests of minorities, and without the GOP as a bogeyman the latter will Demexit.

Problem is the Constitution might be dead by then.
Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
48964 posts
Posted on 5/11/20 at 7:38 pm to
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