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Early voting trends show Democrats falling short in 3 of 4 battlegrounds
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:31 pm
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:31 pm
Article...
quote:
Polling indicates Joe Biden and the Democrats will win big. However, Democrats are falling short of the edge they need in early voting to offset the Republicans.
quote:
If pollsters adjusted to fix 2016 mistakes, the RealClearPolitics average in each state shows Biden winning 341-197 and Democrats taking control of the Senate.
quote:
However, if people are simply scared to give their opinion to pollsters, another option is to look at the breakdown of who has actually voted. Forbes polling indicates that roughly half of all voters plan to vote early, with 62 percent of Democrats planning to vote early while 72 percent of Republicans plan to wait and vote on election day. If that happened and independents split evenly (last time Trump won them), then Democrats would need to win early voting at least 70-30 to be on pace to barely overcome a 31-69 disadvantage in partisan election day votes.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:32 pm to Tigerbait337
Biden is up so much its going to take months for the results... get your head in the game.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:33 pm to Tigerbait337
Early voting always favors democrats. If early voting numbers are falling short for them, it's not a good sign for them. But this is a fricked up election so who knows.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:33 pm to GeauxFightingTigers1
quote:
If pollsters adjusted to fix 2016 mistakes, the RealClearPolitics average in each state shows Biden winning 341-197 and Democrats taking control of the Senate.
Do people really believe this shite??
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:36 pm to Tigerbait337
I like the article.
Breeding overconfidence in a rabid pack of STD infested chihuahuas will surely work this time.
Breeding overconfidence in a rabid pack of STD infested chihuahuas will surely work this time.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:36 pm to Eat Your Crow
Pennsylvania, Iowa, Nevada, Florida
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:37 pm to Tigerbait337
quote:The issue is, I am almost certain, at this point, that they didn’t.
If pollsters adjusted to fix 2016 mistakes
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:37 pm to Tigerbait337
If I would have handed an English paper with this statement:
Followed by this:
I would still be in 9th grade. For the 30th time.
quote:
Polling indicates Joe Biden and the Democrats will win big.
Followed by this:
quote:
However, Democrats are falling short of the edge they need in early voting to offset the Republicans.
I would still be in 9th grade. For the 30th time.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:38 pm to Scruffy
quote:
The issue is, I am almost certain, at this point, that they didn’t.
They didn't, it is on purpose at this point. They are setting a narrative.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:38 pm to upgrayedd
Forbes polled 2 to 1 for dems (60% of dems will vote early and only 30% of reps) voting early. Dems are twice as likely to fear covid contraction. Joe has no enthusiasm. Dems are simply moving votes that would normally be made on Election Day to early voting. Election Day will be a red tidal wave.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:42 pm to Tigerbait337
quote:
A strong ground game is crucial to Democrats, normally including collecting ballots everywhere from college campuses to nursing homes, and on election day driving thousands of vans filled with likely supporters to the polls. None of that is happening because of COVID, and the first time they tried to win an election with no ground game resulted in a double digit loss.
The fact that Republicans were knocking on a million doors a week compared to none for Biden until the final weeks will result in Republicans winning election day by millions of votes. So far the Democrats have not built the 70-30 edge they need in early voting to wrap up a win.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:46 pm to Tigerbait337
quote:
Pennsylvania, Nevada, Florida
Posted on 10/27/20 at 4:49 pm to RebelExpress38
quote:
So far the Democrats have not built the 70-30 edge they need in early voting to wrap up a win.
Doesn’t early voting end in most states today?
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:16 pm to Tigerbait337
Texas goes through Friday or Saturday.
As of today, 46 percent of Texas registered voters have voted by mail or in person. In 2016, the entire early voting period, 43.5 percent voted early.
As of today, 46 percent of Texas registered voters have voted by mail or in person. In 2016, the entire early voting period, 43.5 percent voted early.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 5:35 pm to ATCTx
I just don’t see how the Dems could overcome such a poor ground game. I know they have the national media in their pocket but knocking on millions of doors has to count for something when the other side is doing nothing.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 6:35 pm to Tigerbait337
Don’t fall for this. They’re just trying to get the rest of them to vote
Posted on 10/28/20 at 6:33 am to Scruffy
quote:
The issue is, I am almost certain, at this point, that they didn’t.
They have no reason to, they won't be held accountable.
Remember, Liberals fail UPWARD as long as they proclaim their hatred for Conservatives, Christianity and America loudly enough.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 6:35 am to Tigerbait337
quote:
If pollsters adjusted to fix 2016 mistakes, the RealClearPolitics average in each state shows Biden winning 341-197 and Democrats taking control of the Senate.
What does that even mean? I'm trying to wrap my head around it.
Posted on 10/28/20 at 6:44 am to RebelExpress38
quote:
I just don’t see how the Dems could overcome such a poor ground game. I know they have the national media in their pocket but knocking on millions of doors has to count for something when the other side is doing nothing.
The Republican ground game talking points have been going around for months, I just don't know if I can believe that they've actually outpaced the Dems by that much in the ground game. If they actually have, bravo, they will win this thing.
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