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Do you believe presidential polls?

Posted on 4/29/24 at 8:44 am
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10458 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 8:44 am
While I don’t always understand the polling methodologies, I tend to believe polls have some value in assessing where a candidate stands.
I tend to believe the blended polls especially.

Trump is currently up according to CNN poling but I know many here don’t believe CNN polling because it’s… CNN.

If you’re a believer, which polls do you favor and if you aren’t - why aren’t you?
Posted by WhiskeyThrottle
Weatherford Tx
Member since Nov 2017
5334 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 8:47 am to
Polls seem to generally skew towards democrats. When they are leaning towards the republican candidate, it either looks really bad for the democrats, or there is an ulterior motive.

In the end, I don't really pay much attention to polls in any tangible ways, but I find them interesting to look at.
Posted by LSUvet72
Member since Sep 2013
12060 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 8:56 am to
Some polls are rigged esp. Democrat leaning polls.
Posted by shinerfan
Duckworld(Earth-616)
Member since Sep 2009
22387 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 9:04 am to
quote:

In the end, I don't really pay much attention to polls in any tangible ways, but I find them interesting to look at.



This is more or less where I fall. Polls aren't completely worthless but they're pretty easy to manipulate, at least by a few points. A weighted pool of respondents, leading questions, even subtly leading questions that fall short of a full-on push poll... But if a poll says someone is up 10+ points they're probably up.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
18272 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 9:10 am to
NO - the Dems already have millions of illegal ballots ready to go into the "swing states" ie all the major cities. Close to 100% of eligible voters (in some cities over 100% like in 2020) in Atlanta, Philly, Phoenix, etc. will "vote".
RINOs are in on it too. As long as you leave me in the mafia, allow me and my family to also fleece millions, I will turn a blind eye. It only took that POS Mike Johnson weeks to show his corrupt colors.
This post was edited on 4/29/24 at 10:50 am
Posted by PorkSammich
North FL
Member since Sep 2013
14268 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 9:11 am to
I believe them when they show my guy doing well.

I think they are trash when my guy is down.
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
24843 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 9:30 am to
Polls mean nothing and elections are rigged. Polls just sway the masses and gaslight them into believing the results of elections.

Just watch, closer we get to November, the polls will suddenly show a razor-thin margin with a slight edge to Biden. Then, very late (and highly suspect) results and ballot dumps will come in, in critical swing counties, and push Biden over the top.

They're already telling us they're going to steal the election again.
Posted by Northshore Aggie
Mandeville, LA
Member since Sep 2022
4747 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 9:34 am to
quote:

Polls mean nothing and elections are rigged. Polls just sway the masses and gaslight them into believing the results of elections.

Just watch, closer we get to November, the polls will suddenly show a razor-thin margin with a slight edge to Biden. Then, very late (and highly suspect) results and ballot dumps will come in, in critical swing counties, and push Biden over the top.

100%
Posted by NPComb
Member since Jan 2019
27396 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 9:35 am to
Not after 2016 and definitely not after 2020.


Posted by Vandergriff
Member since Nov 2020
1095 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 9:40 am to
6 months out from the election? Not a chance. They are meaningless.

After Labor Day the polls will show a very general picture but overall they are media propaganda meant to incite one side or the other and are easily manipulated.

Basically they are useless.
Posted by Colonel Angus
Member since Aug 2007
1628 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 9:48 am to
in the 2022 midterms, most of them had a huge Republican landslide coming that November. Well, that certainly didn't happen.
Posted by DoctorO
BTR
Member since Jun 2010
276 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 10:13 am to
Depends on how they are conducted.
In the old days, pollsters would call random landline numbers and talk to people. Now with cellphones, you see a number that is not on your contact list and you probably don' t answer. Or, you respond or don't respond to email or texts that indicate a poll is involved.
I don't think that this is as scientific as the old way.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10458 posts
Posted on 4/29/24 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

Not after 2016 and definitely not after 2020.


Do you believe the polls showing trump with a lead?
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